Stratfor often suffers from lack of imagination...
 
B
 

http://counterterrorismblog.org/
 

No Limits


By Roderick Jones



The thoughtful private Intelligence company Stratfor
<http://www.stratfor.com/>  just released a piece suggesting what it thinks
are the limits to jihadi terrorists being able to conduct their terrorist
planning and training online: The
<http://www.stratfor.com/products/premium/read_article.php?id=299829&selecte
d=Analyses> Role and Limitations of the 'Dark Web' In jihadist Training.
Stratfor acknowledges that the Internet has been an enabler for terrorism
but it doubts that the required tradecraft of terrorist operations can be
taught online. Where Stratfor makes an error in this article is in not
taking account of the enhanced capabilities of 3-D virtual worlds to assist
the next generation of jihadi terrorists. The educational abilities of
virtual worlds have been well-documented and as Stratfor points out
bomb-making is best learnt from an expert. With the abilities available
within virtual worlds there is no reason why this knowledge cannot be passed
from teacher to pupil within a persistent 3-D environment. The real-time
communication systems incorporating VoIP and the ability to produce
sophisticated, 'working' 3-D models makes training in the engineering of
terrorist technique a current reality.

But Stratfor, on this occasion, also makes the wider mistake of looking at
the Internet as it is today, when the Internet always exists in the future.
Therefore, while Stratfor rightly points to the limitations of Google Earth
<http://earth.google.com/>  as a terrorist reconnaissance tool it fails to
account for the Internet of tomorrow where target locations can be
re-created in virtual worlds and attacks can be planned and practiced. It
isn't just virtual worlds but other applications that are making use of the
explosion of data available to the ordinary user in order to create
sophisticated digital tools, which will in time supplant Google Earth as the
terrorist tool of choice. New software from Microsoft's research lab
entitled, Photosynth  <http://labs.live.com/photosynth/> meshes with online
photo sharing sites to deliver highly intricate 3-D models of real-world
buildings and environments. Terrorists are understandably interested in any
application that enhances their reconnaissance capability without exposing
them to risk and photosynth fits that category. Conducting pre-attack
surveillance is often when terrorist cells are at their most vulnerable -
digital tools can reduce these vulnerabilities.

Technology companies are developing enhanced representations of the real
world almost daily and these can clearly be corrupted for extremist use.
Jihadi digital natives will increase the sophistication of their platforms
to further enhance their potency - the limitations Stratfor correctly
identifies will rapidly fall away.

 



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