A Friendly Little Dictatorship in the Horn of Africa
Why the world doesn't care about Djibouti's autocracy.
BY ALY VERJEE | APRIL 8, 2011
http://www.foreignpolicy.com/articles/2011/04/08/a_friendly_little_dictators
hip_in_the_horn_of_africa

In the shadow of the extraordinary events under way in the Middle East,
Djibouti's presidential vote was always going to struggle for attention.
Indeed, the plight of this tiny country, sandwiched between Somalia and
Yemen, remains almost completely ignored. But as the primary seaport to 85
million landlocked Ethiopians, the center of anti-piracy efforts in the Horn
of Africa, and a reliable Western ally in the war on terror, Djibouti is a
strategically vital country in an unstable neighborhood.

And with Nigeria's potentially tumultuous national vote coming this week,
the relative quiet of the Djiboutian electoral process, which culminated
with a ballot on April 8, might be considered a pleasant surprise compared
with the electoral chaos of Africa's largest democracy. Djibouti boasts
fewer than a million inhabitants -- voters in one district of the Nigerian
city of Lagos outnumber its entire electoral roll.

But Djiboutian democracy is deeply flawed. The national parliament has not a
single opposition legislator. The only national broadcaster,
Radio-Television Djibouti, is the mouthpiece of the ruling party, slavishly
reporting on the president's visits and appointments. There are almost no
independent civil society organizations, and, with almost all possible
employment controlled by the state, criticism of the regime is a bad career
move. In this environment, this year's electoral campaign was little more
than an exercise in hero worship of the incumbent president, Ismail Omar
Guelleh.

Facing a two-term limit, Guelleh changed the constitution in April 2010 to
allow him to stand for another five years in office. Guelleh came to power
in 1999, succeeding his uncle, Hassan Gouled Aptidon, who served as
Djibouti's first president since independence from France in 1977. His
administration has brought trade deals and investment to Djibouti, but it
has done little to address the country's massive unemployment, which by some
estimates exceeds 60 percent. He ran again in 2005 and officially won 100
percent of the vote. Facing a single independent challenger and a complete
opposition boycott of this year's vote, Guelleh's reelection is certain.

If the story ended there, Djibouti would be a sad if predictable tale of
autocracy -- little different from Gabon, Syria, or Azerbaijan. With no
natural resources to speak of, this microstate, more famous for its scuba
diving than its diverse politics, is barely a footnote on the world agenda.

But to the West, and particularly the United States and France, Djibouti
matters. It matters a lot. As the forward operating base of U.S. Africa
Command, Djibouti's Camp Lemonnier is a friendly piece of real estate in the
Horn of Africa, which includes Eritrea, Somalia, and Yemen. Approximately
2,000 U.S. troops are based at Lemonnier, in addition to the naval forces
that periodically call at the port of Djibouti. With the nearest friendly
African port located in Mombasa, Kenya -- 1,700 miles away -- the United
States, NATO, and the European Union have no alternative to using Djibouti's
harbor as a sanctuary to conduct anti-piracy operations.

Its unfettered cooperation on anti-piracy operations has endeared Djibouti
to many other members of the international community. A score of countries
-- including Japan, Germany, and Russia -- rely on the port of Djibouti to
sustain their naval presence in East African waters. At the mouth of the Red
Sea and the Gulf of Aden, Djibouti is strategically located to protect some
of the world's busiest shipping lanes, which have become increasingly
vulnerable to ever more ambitious pirates. And the problem is not going
away. Despite some success in disrupting "pirate action groups," as they are
termed by the multinational forces, 14 ships have already been hijacked in
the Gulf of Aden and Indian Ocean this year, according to figures from the
International Maritime Bureau's Piracy Reporting Center.

As the only U.S. military toehold on the continent, Djibouti is also a vital
link in the war on terror. Unmanned anti-terrorism drones are deployed from
Lemonnier against targets in the Arabian Peninsula and Somalia. The CIA is
rumored to maintain facilities in country: One former detainee is suing the
Djiboutian authorities for allegedly being complicit in his extraordinary
rendition from Tanzania to Djibouti, and then to a network of clandestine
CIA prisons in Eastern Europe and Afghanistan, according to the Washington
Post.

And France has interests there, too: Its largest overseas military presence
remains in this former colony, which hosts a half-brigade of the Foreign
Legion. French fighter planes sit at Ambouli airport. A mutual defense
treaty remains in force between the two states.

But Djibouti, a full member of the Arab League, has not been immune to the
unrest sweeping the region. The largest demonstration in years, numbering
about 4,000 people, was held outside Djibouti's national stadium on Feb. 18
to protest the likelihood of Guelleh's third term. With no international
media present in the country and with no free local press, the popular
demonstrations were quickly suppressed. And as the French ambassador told me
after the pro-democracy protests, during which the police tear-gassed and
stormed the crowd to disperse the gathering, "These local events don't worry
us. Terrorism, piracy, those are the real issues."

Djiboutians pay the price for the West's apathy. As Human Rights Watch noted
this week, the government has imposed an unconstitutional ban on public
assembly, criminalizing any gathering in public. Rather than subjecting the
electoral process to independent scrutiny, the government of Djibouti has
jailed human rights activists and expelled international observers. An
unconfirmed number of political activists remain in custody and held without
charge.

Djibouti may be a small country and a valuable Western ally in a volatile
region. But it should be subject to the same scrutiny and standards as those
applied to other countries with dubious track records. Though Djibouti may
not be in the headlines, its relationship with the West is equally in need
of re-evaluation.



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