Thanks to Obama, Gas Jumps in a Flash

Posted By Will Collier On April 26, 2011 

It must have looked so simple from Barack Obama's rarely visited Senate
office, or Steven Chu's comfortable digs at Berkeley: if only we stopped
taking advantage of all those nasty fossil fuels, everything would be
better. Three years ago, when then-Senator Obama was dismissing high energy
prices as just another good reason for more government handouts
<http://yourdaddy.net/2011/04/12/obamas-high-energy-prices-campaign-promise-
fulfilled/>  [1], and Chu was insisting that Americans ought to pay European
prices <http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20110302/ap_on_re_us/us_barbour_energy_2>
[2] for gasoline, all they heard in return was applause from their core
constituencies - academics and the media.

Unfortunately for now-President Obama, the reality of $4-$5-a-gallon
gasoline is a much tougher sell to the general public. He's put himself to
work spinning the line that  <http://streetwiseprofessor.com/?p=5051>
"speculators" are at fault [3] for high prices, but the actual explaination
is far more prosaic. Limited supply plus growing demand equals higher
prices. That's a formula so simple, even a community organizer should be
able to understand it.

Asian demand for energy continues to rise as nations in the far east region
- oddly lacking in "stimulus" spending - continue to boom
<http://news.xinhuanet.com/english2010/business/2011-04/17/c_13832413.htm>
[4]. Supply, meanwhile, has fallen off, not only as a consequence of the
turmoil in Libya and other oil-producing countries, but also thanks to the
Obama-ordered moritorium on drilling
<http://www.dailyworld.com/article/DG/20110420/NEWS01/104200343/Slicing-an-a
rtery-industry?odyssey=nav|head>  [5] in the Gulf of Mexico - and the
recenly ordered moritorium
<http://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2009/feb/11/drilling-ban-revisited>
[6] on future drilling anywhere else off the American coasline.

Obama and his minions have been chasing the green jobs chimera for so long
that it's an instinct. They pompously suggest
<http://pajamasmedia.com/instapundit/118137/>  [7] that Americans ought to
trade in their current vehicles
<http://thehill.com/blogs/e2-wire/677-e2-wire/157263-obama-trade-in-your-suv
s-for-more-fuel-efficient-vehicles>  [8] for pricey, government-approved
matchbox cars <http://www.pjtv.com/?cmd=mpg&mpid=86&load=5199>  [9],
asserting still
<http://www.foxbusiness.com/industries/2011/04/15/obama-quick-fix-high-gas-p
rices/>  [10] that there's "no quick fix" for high energy prices. History,
and very recent history at that, indicates that they are mistaken.

Take a look at this chart compiled by metalprices.com
<http://www.metalprices.com/pubcharts/PublicCharts.aspx?metal=cl%20nymex&typ
e=C&weight=&days=60&size=s&bg=EDF2F8>  [11]. It's the price of a barrel of
crude oil over the past 5 years.

See that big peak in the middle? That was the last oil spike, in the summer
of 2008. Notice how the price hit a high point, then fell off a cliff
afterwards?

The day corresponding to that peak, an all-time high of $145.16/barrel, was
July 14, 2008. By some strange coincidence, that was the very same day
then-President George W. Bush lifted, by executive order, a federal ban on
offshore oil drilling.

Bush's order was, of course, immediately dismissed by the "experts." Reuters
<http://www.reuters.com/article/2008/07/14/uk-usa-energy-bush-idUKN144544552
0080714>  [12] waved away the action as "a largely symbolic move unlikely to
have any short-term impact on high gasoline costs." Barack Obama's campaign
lectured that if "offshore drilling would provide short-term relief at the
pump or a long-term strategy for energy independence, it would be worthy of
our consideration, regardless of the risks. But most experts, even within
the Bush administration, concede it would do neither."

The movement left was even more dismissive. ClimateProgress.org
<http://climateprogress.org/2008/07/14/offshore-drilling-raises-oil-prices/>
[13] blasted The Washington Post for failing to headline their story about
the order "Offshore Drilling Raises Oil Prices." In response to Bush's
assertion that additional offshore extraction could equal current U.S.
production in 10 years, they editorialized: "Yes, and monkeys could fly out
of my butt" (emphasis in original).

There was just one problem: reality. Even though, as critcs were eager to
point out, any additional American drilling was years in the future, oil
prices immediately went into free-fall. By Friday, July 18, the price of a
barrel of crude
<http://tonto.eia.doe.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=PET&s=RWTC&f=D>
[14] had dropped to $128.94, a 12% decrease. A month later, on August 14,
the price had fallen to $115.05. In spectacular fashion, Bush's academic and
media critics were proven seriously wrong.

For commodities traders who'd been pricing oil based on a supposition of
scarcity, the potential for millions of additional barrels on the market hit
like a thunderbolt. The simple act of putting America's resources on the
table popped the oil bubble, and a stunning price drop followed in short
order. By election day, November 4, the price of a barrel of crude had
plummeted to $70.84 - a 51% decrease in less than five months.

But wait. I can already hear the cries of, "Uh uh! The price dropped becase
demand fell off! Haven'tcha ever heard of the Great Recession?"

Problem is, all of that happened months prior to the collapse of Lehman
Brothers and the beginning of the financial crisis on September 15, 2008
(price of crude: $95.52). Oil prices actually spiked at the outset of the
economic mess, peaking at just over $100/barrel on September 30 before
falling again. They reached a bottom price of $30.28 on December 23, a
jaw-dropping 80% off the July peak, less than a month before Barack Obama
took office.

Speaking of which: Obama had been president-elect for all of five days
<http://afp.google.com/article/ALeqM5geXQuR4D0KjwE3fpZP1tLnjmF51Q>  [15]
when he announced his intention to rescind Bush's order. Oil prices started
going up again in January of 2009 and steadily increasing ever since. Obama
Energy Secretary Ken Salazar announced a highly restrictive offshore leasing
policy
<http://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2009/feb/11/drilling-ban-revisited/>
[16] last December, and the Bush executive order was officially reversed
<http://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2009/feb/11/drilling-ban-revisited/>
[16] on February 8, 2011.

The price of crude that day was $85.85. By April 19, it had risen to
$107.18, with no end in sight.

  _____  

Article printed from Pajamas Media: http://pajamasmedia.com

URL to article:
http://pajamasmedia.com/blog/thanks-to-obama-gas-jumps-in-a-flash/

URLs in this post: 

[1] good reason for more government handouts:
http://yourdaddy.net/2011/04/12/obamas-high-energy-prices-campaign-promise-f
ulfilled/

[2] insisting that Americans ought to pay European prices:
http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20110302/ap_on_re_us/us_barbour_energy_2

[3] spinning the line that "speculators" are at fault:
http://streetwiseprofessor.com/?p=5051

[4] continue to boom:
http://news.xinhuanet.com/english2010/business/2011-04/17/c_13832413.htm

[5] Obama-ordered moritorium on drilling:
http://www.dailyworld.com/article/DG/20110420/NEWS01/104200343/Slicing-an-ar
tery-industry?odyssey=nav|head

[6] recenly ordered moritorium:
http://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2009/feb/11/drilling-ban-revisited

[7] pompously suggest: http://pajamasmedia.com/instapundit/118137/

[8] ought to trade in their current vehicles:
http://thehill.com/blogs/e2-wire/677-e2-wire/157263-obama-trade-in-your-suvs
-for-more-fuel-efficient-vehicles

[9] pricey, government-approved matchbox cars:
http://www.pjtv.com/?cmd=mpg&mpid=86&load=5199

[10] still:
http://www.foxbusiness.com/industries/2011/04/15/obama-quick-fix-high-gas-pr
ices/

[11] this chart compiled by metalprices.com:
http://www.metalprices.com/pubcharts/PublicCharts.aspx?metal=cl
nymex&type=C&weight=&days=60&size=s&bg=EDF2F8

[12] Reuters:
http://www.reuters.com/article/2008/07/14/uk-usa-energy-bush-idUKN1445445520
080714

[13] ClimateProgress.org:
http://climateprogress.org/2008/07/14/offshore-drilling-raises-oil-prices/

[14] the price of a barrel of crude:
http://tonto.eia.doe.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=PET&s=RWTC&f=D

[15] had been president-elect for all of five days:
http://afp.google.com/article/ALeqM5geXQuR4D0KjwE3fpZP1tLnjmF51Q

[16] announced a highly restrictive offshore leasing policy:
http://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2009/feb/11/drilling-ban-revisited/

 



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