Fatah-Hamas Agreement: Another Nail in the 'Peace Process's' Coffin


Barry Rubin - Rubin Reports,  April 27th, 2011



Suddenly, after years of persistent failure, Fatah and Hamas-which means the
Palestinian Authority (PA) and Hamas-have signed a detailed reconciliation
agreement.

Why now? It's preparation for the UN and the claim that the PA is sole,
legitimate representative of the Palestinians. In exchange for being able to
claim it now rules both the West Bank and Gaza Strip, Fatah (PA) made huge
concessions that it has always refused to give before.

Naturally, the accord will break down. Presumably after the PA gets a lot of
support for being an independent country later this year and before
projected Palestinian elections in 2012.

Why is Hamas going along with this? Because the deal gives it a lot,
including a promise of elections in a year. Hamas won the last elections and
presumably is confident-especially as it looks at electoral successes for
Hizballah in Lebanon and probably soon for the Muslim Brotherhood in
Egypt-that it will win again.

But there's also another reason. Hamas is probably quite happy with the idea
that many countries-and perhaps the UN-will recognize an independent
Palestinian state unconditionally. In other words, there will be a widely,
or internationally, accepted Palestine without the need to make peace with
Israel. No concessions need be made. The Palestinians will get everything
and give up nothing. They will not be bound in any way by border changes or
security guarantees. The struggle to wipe Israel off the map can continue.

It's Hamas's dream come true.

Anyone who thinks this helps the peace process is deluded. Hamas will never
accept any peace agreement with Israel and will radicalize Fatah's
negotiating position out of competition between the two rivals to prove
their militancy. The race to commit the most bloody terrorist acts would
also intensify.

Make no mistake. Whether or not this development has any direct effect on
the ground, it's another step toward the death of any real
Israel-Palestinian peace process.   

 



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