04/28/2011 06:30 PM

Attack in Marrakech


Likely Terror Attack Strikes Popular Tourist Cafe in Morocco


By Yassin Musharbash <http://www.spiegel.de/extra/0,1518,632129,00.html>  

An apparent terrorist attack struck a cafe in Marrakech, Morocco on
Thursday, a city popular with Western tourists. More than a dozen people
died, including several foreigners. Early signs indicate the attack was
likely carried out by al-Qaida's local branch in North Africa. 

An apparent terrorist attack shook Marrakech, Morocco on Thursday, killing
more than a dozen and injuring 20 more. Eleven of the dead are believed to
be foreigners, possibly tourists. 

The probability it was a terrorist attack is high given that the Argana cafe
is a tourist magnet in the picturesque desert city. The restaurant's terrace
offers spectacular views of Djemaa el Fna Square in the city's bazaar
quarter. The historical buildings and surrounding grounds are designated as
a UNESCO World Heritage site. 

Eyewitnesses reported that debris from the building had fallen onto the
square. The explosion was so powerful it could be heard as far as 2
kilometers away. 

The bombing attack is the first major strike on Morocco since a series of
suicide attacks shook the port city of Casablanca in 2003. The attacks on
Western and Jewish institutions there killed 45 people, including 12 suicide
bombers. 

The suspected perpetrator of Thursday's attack is likely to be al-Qaida's
North African branch, al-Qaida in the Islamic Maghreb (AQIM). The local
branch of Osama bin Laden's global terror network is based in Algeria and
northern Mali, but also has representatives in Morocco and has conducted
several attacks on North Africa in the past that have targeted tourists or
Western facilities. That could also explain the site of the explosion, one
of Marrakech's most popular attractions, visited by tourists year round.

It cannot, however, be ruled out that a local terror group, independent of
al-Qaida, planned and carried out the bombing. Several such groups exist and
have carried out attacks in the past. Andrew Lebovich, a researcher at the
New America Foundation who tracks AQIM, says that, while the Thursday attack
fits the al-Qaida pattern, one cannot ignore the existence of other militant
groups in Morocco. It is too early to pin the blame on AQIM. 

AQIM originated in 2006 out of the Algerian terrorist group GSPC and has
increased its activities in recent months in the region, particularly in the
Sahel. In statements, the leadership has said that the West, its people and
its interests are prime targets of the terror group. Just a few days ago,
AQIM released a video showing French hostages. In recent years, analysts
believe, AQIM has amassed money in the double-digit millions through ransom
payments. In 2009, AQIM men killed a British hostage. During August of the
same year, AQIM operatives also attacked the French Embassy in Mauritania.

AQIM Wants to Establish a Theocracy 

The group has deployed suicide attackers several times since 2007, including
attacks on Algerian government institutions that have in some instances
caused dozens of deaths. Numerous arrests of suspected members of the group
have been made in Morocco. Last July, French and Mauritanian special forces
worked together to storm an al-Qaida base. At the time, officials hoped the
operations had helped to foil plans by the group to commit terrorist
attacks. 

Al-Qaida in Islamic Maghreb's stated goal is to establish a theocracy, but
also to "reconquer" the former Muslim areas of Spain and Portugal. They are
also avowed enemies of France, and the organization has criticized President
Nicolas Sarkozy over French integration policy, including the newly passed
burqa ban.

But experts disagree on the question of how close ties are between global
al-Qaida leader Osama bin Laden and AQIM leadership. A few weeks ago, AQIM
declared that the French government must negotiate the release of French
hostages directly with bin Laden. It was an obvious attempt to embarrass
Paris -- but it also sent the message of a strong bond with al-Qaida
central. The Qaida central leadership, in the meantime, has signalled that
they hope that AQIM will conduct a spectacular terrorist strike in Europe,
but so far it hasn't gotten that far -- either because AQIM doesn't have the
capacity or because the group doesn't want to operate outside of the their
ancestral region due to tactical considerations.

The Tactic: Kill Westerners, Embarrass Police, Damage the Tourist Industry 

Attacks on tourists have long been a hallmark of al-Qaida terrorists because
they fulfil three aims at the same time: They kill Westerners, they
embarrass local security authorities and they damage the tourism industry
and thus indirectly, local regimes which the terrorists deem insufficiently
Islamic. 

The explosion in Marrakech would certainly fulfil all these goals. Morocco
is one of the most peaceful and stabile countries in the Arab region and has
been spared terrorist violence in recent years. This year, it has also
managed to avoid the kind of grassroots revolution that has toppled regimes
across North Africa and threatened several others in the Arab world.

A jihadist attack in North Africa at a time when al-Qaida has been incapable
of coming up with any meaningful response to the uprisings in countries
throughout the Arab world would be useful to the terrorist network because
it could demonstrate to its supporters that it still has a strategy and the
ability to strike. 

It would be very difficult to imagine that a terrorist group other than AQIM
could be behind Thursday's attack. If it is confirmed to be a terror attack,
it will almost certainly be attributed to bin Laden's cohorts. As of late
Thursday, however, no group had yet taken responsibility for the attack. 





URL:


*       http://www.spiegel.de/international/world/0,1518,759601,00.html

 



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