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04/29/2011 02:48 PM


The World from Berlin


'Nothing But Bad News for the Middle East Peace Process'


The agreement between the radical Islamists of Hamas and the moderate
Palestinian group Fatah to create a caretaker government has not been well
received in the West. It could provide a necessary impetus in the Middle
East peace process, say German commentators, but only if Hamas recognizes
Israel.

It is a match of potentially far greater importance than that made on Friday
in London's Westminster Abbey. But enthusiasm has so far been in short
supply. Following the Wednesday announcement of the agreement reached in
Egypt between Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas' Fatah party and its
Islamist rival, Hamas, the global reaction has been one of caution and
reserve.

And Israel, which seems to have been taken off guard by the announcement,
has reacted with particular skepticism. Abbas, said Israeli Prime Minister
Benjamin Netanyahu, must choose "between peace with Israel and peace with
Hamas." President Shimon Peres called the alliance a "grave mistake," and
Foreign Minister Avigdor Lieberman said that Abbas "must understand that it
is not possible to be a partner with terrorists without being a partner to
terror."

The Egypt-mediated plan seeks to end four years of hostility between Hamas,
which has control of the Gaza Strip, and Fatah, which rules the West Bank.
It envisions the creation of a joint caretaker government to pave the way
for elections next year. Many observers have noted that the alliance appears
to be an effort to pave the way for the hoped-for United Nations recognition
of a Palestinian state later this year. US-backed peace efforts came to a
screeching halt last autumn once Israel resumed settlement construction
following the expiration of a moratorium.

Israel's Right to Exist 

German Foreign Minister Guido Westerwelle reiterated the long-held position
of the West that "Hamas is not a negotiating partner." The US has said it
will reassess aid to the Palestinian Territories should Hamas join the
government. Washington considers Hamas to be a terrorist group. The Hamas
leadership has not yet recognized Israel's right to exist.

Abbas has tried to downplay such concerns, saying that Fatah would remain
Israel's negotiating partner and that there would be no Hamas
representatives in the new government. Furthermore, he promised not to
release any Hamas prisoners. 

German Chancellor Angela Merkel will welcome Abbas to Berlin next Thursday,
and she is expected to expressly outline the West's concerns with Fatah's
new partnership with Hamas. 

German commentators take a look at the union on Friday.

The center-left Süddeutsche Zeitung writes:

"For more than 30 years, ever since Egypt recognized the state of Israel,
Cairo has had no diplomatic relations with Tehran. Now, Egypt is looking for
a new chapter in its relations with Iran, the archenemy of Israel and the
US.... Egypt's new foreign policy experts have loosened border controls with
the Gaza Strip, weakening Israel's control over the region."

"The crowning achievement in Egypt's reorientation, however, is its apparent
mediation between the two Palestinian factions.... Hamas and Fatah still
have a number of questions to resolve.... But even the Islamists have to
offer people progress, otherwise they risk radicalization or rebellion.
Furthermore, the ongoing uprisings in the Arab world are calling decades-old
alliances into question. Fatah under the leadership of Mahmoud Abbas lost an
ally when Egyptian leader Hosni Mubarak stepped down. Hamas, for its part,
is looking uneasily to Syria, where the regime of Bashar Assad is attempting
to crush protests with tanks. Hamas' exile headquarters are in Damascus, and
Assad supports the group. But for how much longer?"

"Israel too is losing allies. Mubarak is history. The US and the West are,
aside from Libya, mere observers. Washington, Brussels and Berlin were
unable to influence the pro-democracy protests in the Arab world and have
little influence on the new relations now forming in the region.... For
almost 100 years, the West drew borders in the Middle East, separated the
populations and bought regimes. They will find it more difficult to impose
their will on the region in the future."

The Financial Times Deutschland writes:

"There is one good thing about the agreement between Hamas and Fatah to
establish a joint, caretaker government, whether it actually comes to pass
or not: It reveals the self-deception that Middle East negotiators have for
years been victim to. They have acted as though it were possible to find a
long-term solution to the Israeli-Palestinian conflict while at the same
time excluding the leadership and population of the Gaza Strip."

"But everyone could see that the radical Islamist group Hamas, which took
over power in the Gaza Strip in a bloody battle four years ago, would sooner
or later have torpedoed any Israeli overtures. The Palestinians can only be
bound to an agreement in the long term if all factions are part of that
agreement."

"Still, the agreement between the two Palestinian groups is hardly worth the
attention it is getting before the promised government is actually formed.
Few would be surprised if the deal collapsed again in a few days."

The conservative daily Die Welt writes:

"The handshake of Cairo is a business deal from which all sides hope to
benefit. Hamas, backed by Iran and Syria, has transformed the Gaza Strip
into an enormous prison, inside of which nothing is prospering --
politically, economically or socially. Furthermore Syria, Hamas' most
powerful sponsor, has its own serious problems at the moment. An election
could bring Hamas political legitimization in the West Bank as well."

"The moderate Fatah movement in the West Bank, for its part, has used the
Palestinian schism -- with massive international support -- to create
state-like structures in its area of influence. Given the economic growth in
the West Bank, modest though it may be, Fatah can hope that they will be a
gleaming example for their Palestinian brothers in the Gaza Strip. Only one
of the calculations, however, will prove right in the end."

The left-leaning daily Die Tageszeitung writes:

"The agreement could even be a cause for celebration for the Israelis, if
Mr. Lieberman and Mr. Netanyahu were to resist their political reflexes for
once and actually think about things. Hamas has long since found peace with
the idea of a Palestinian state within the 1967 borders, even if it prefers
not to recognize Israel and foreswear violence before such a state exists.
The elections now on the Palestinian horizon could easily result in a
moderate Palestinian leadership, particularly given that support for Hamas
in the Gaza Strip has fallen. There is even a chance that rocket attacks on
Israel from the Gaza Strip could be reduced to nothing in the long term. The
desired prisoner exchange and the release of Israeli soldier Gilad Shalit
could be accelerated. What would hold Israel back from at least making the
effort?"

The business daily Handelsblatt writes:

"In principle, the détente between the rival Palestinian organizations could
remove a heavy stone which has blocked the path to freedom between the
Israelis and the Palestinians for years. If, that is, there weren't serious
questions about how the radical Islamist Hamas organization will position
itself in the future."

"Following the agreement with the Fatah organization on a caretaker
government, Hamas has a good opportunity to exert more influence in the
Palestinian camp. But if they remain true to their radical roots and
continue to deny Israel's right to exist -- which appears likely -- that
would mean nothing but bad news for the peace process."

-- Charles Hawley





URL:


*       http://www.spiegel.de/international/world/0,1518,759751,00.html

 



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