http://news.yahoo.com/s/time/20110502/us_time/08599206899800

 


The CIA Gets a Rare Public Victory


 
<http://news.yahoo.com/nphotos/Osama-bin-Laden-killed/ss/events/wl/091409osa
mabinladen>
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f.jpeg

AP/Musadeq Sadeq

An Afghan youth walks past by a television announces the death of al-Qaida
leader Osama bin Laden at a television selling market in Kabul, Afghanistan
on Monday, May 2, 2011.
<http://news.yahoo.com/nphotos/Osama-bin-Laden-killed/ss/events/wl/091409osa
mabinladen> More photos »

 
<http://us.rd.yahoo.com/dailynews/time/brand/SIG=8rhvp9/*http:/www.time.com>
Time.com

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<http://news.yahoo.com/nphotos/undated-artist-rendering-handout-provided-CIA
-shows-Abbottabad-compound-Pakistan/photo/110502/481/urn_publicid_ap_org335b
9c1ccb03492e9673f06eb4acecbe/s:/time/20110502/us_time/08599206899800> This
undated artist rendering handout provided by the CIA shows the Abbottabad
compound in Pakistan where American forces in Pakistan killed Osama binAP –
This undated artist rendering handout provided by the CIA shows the
Abbottabad compound in Pakistan where … 

*
<http://news.yahoo.com/nphotos/Osama-Bin-Laden-Compound/ss/events/wl/050211o
samacomp> Osama Bin Laden's Compound
<http://news.yahoo.com/nphotos/Osama-Bin-Laden-Compound/ss/events/wl/050211o
samacomp> Slideshow:Osama Bin Laden's Compound 

By MASSIMO CALABRESI Massimo Calabresi – Mon May 2, 6:15 pm ET

As the news of Osama bin Laden's death moves from exhilarating novelty to
accepted reality, one group in the U.S. government will emerge as key to the
win: the Central Intelligence Agency. From the earliest identification of a
Bin Laden courier, the pursuit of leads, the assessment of evidence and the
execution of the raid in Abottabad, Pakistan, the CIA can rightly claim the
most credit for finding and killing the world's most wanted terrorist.

Taking credit for a win is not something the agency gets to do often. Though
on high alert in the run-up to 9/11, the CIA was criticized afterward for
failing to connect the dots of existing intelligence on the threat. Years of
failed efforts to find and kill bin Laden thereafter embarrassed and
frustrated the agency. And reforms intended to fix the CIA's problems
remained inconclusive in the public eye, without a win on the issue most
important to Americans: bringing bin Laden to justice. (Watch TIME's video
of the celebration at Ground Zero after bin Laden's death.)
<http://us.rd.yahoo.com/dailynews/time/us_time/storytext/08599206899800/4130
7397/SIG=12cgr7s5n/*http:/www.time.com/time/video/player/0,32068,92728930300
1_2068891,00.html>  

But the picture already emerging from senior administration sources will
begin to turn that opinion around. In a briefing for reporters last night,
officials laid out in detail the intelligence work that went into finding
bin Laden. The case started with human intelligence:

>From the time that we first recognized bin Laden as a threat, the CIA
gathered leads on individuals in bin Laden's inner circle, including his
personal couriers. Detainees in the post-9/11 period flagged for us
individuals who may have been providing direct support to bin Laden and his
deputy, Zawahiri, after their escape from Afghanistan.

One courier in particular had our constant attention. Detainees gave us his
nom de guerre or his nickname and identified him as both a protÉgÉ of Khalid
Sheikh Mohammed, the mastermind of September 11th, and a trusted assistant
of Abu Faraj al-Libbi, the former number three of al Qaeda who was captured
in 2005.

Detainees also identified this man as one of the few al Qaeda couriers
trusted by bin Laden. They indicated he might be living with and protecting
bin Laden. But for years, we were unable to identify his true name or his
location.

The fact that the initial tip about the courier emerged from detainee
interrogations needs to be unpacked. Were any "enhanced interrogation
techniques" used to obtain information about the courier? Khalid Sheikh
Mohammed and al Libbi were two of the detainees who were subjected to
"enhanced interrogation techniques." KSM was waterboarded, a technique Obama
and current CIA chief Leon Panetta have repeatedly decried as torture. There
can be little question that both Al Libbi and KSM were questioned about the
courier, whom the CIA was pursuing aggressively, according to the senior
administration official: (See photos of bin Laden's Pakistan hideout.)
<http://us.rd.yahoo.com/dailynews/time/us_time/storytext/08599206899800/4130
7397/SIG=11vjd7s48/*http:/www.time.com/time/photogallery/0,29307,2068945,00.
html> 

Four years ago, we uncovered his identity, and for operational reasons, I
can't go into details about his name or how we identified him, but about two
years ago, after months of persistent effort, we identified areas in
Pakistan where the courier and his brother operated. Still we were unable to
pinpoint exactly where they lived, due to extensive operational security on
their part. The fact that they were being so careful reinforced our belief
that we were on the right track. 

Then in August 2010, we found their residence, a compound in Abbottabad,
Pakistan, a town about 35 miles north of Islamabad. The area is relatively
affluent, with lots of retired military. It's also insolated [sic] from the
natural disasters and terrorist attacks that have afflicted other parts of
Pakistan.

The work then moved to technical intelligence collection, including efforts
by the CIA's sister agencies, the satellite-running National
Geospatial-Intelligence Agency and the eavesdropping National Security
Agency:

When we saw the compound where the brothers lived, we were shocked by what
we saw - an extraordinarily unique compound. The compound sits on a large
plot of land in an area that was relatively secluded when it was built. It
is roughly eight times larger than the other homes in the area.

When the compound was built in 2005, it was on the outskirts of the town
center, at the end of a narrow dirt road. In the last six years, some
residential homes have been built nearby. The physical security measures of
the compound are extraordinary. It has 12- to 18-foot walls topped with
barbed wire. Internal wall sections - internal walls sectioned off different
portions of the compound to provide extra privacy. Access to the compound is
restricted by two security gates, and the residents of the compound burn
their trash, unlike their neighbors, who put the trash out for collection.

The main structure, a three-story building, has few windows facing the
outside of the compound. A terrace on the third floor has a seven-foot wall
privacy - has a seven-foot privacy wall.

It's also noteworthy that the property is valued at approximately $1 million
but has no telephone or Internet service connected to it. The brothers had
no explainable source of wealth.

All of this information then went to the CIA's directorate of intelligence
to cook into a theory of the case - whether it could be assumed that it was
in fact Bin Laden who was likely in the compound, and how confident the
President could be that he was sending a strike force in for a worthwhile
risk. (See TIME's 2001 cover story on the 9/11 attacks.)
<http://us.rd.yahoo.com/dailynews/time/us_time/storytext/08599206899800/4130
7397/SIG=122p4jje2/*http:/www.time.com/time/magazine/article/0,9171,1000761,
00.html> 

Intelligence analysts concluded that this compound was custom built to hide
someone of significance. We soon learned that more people were living at the
compound than the two brothers and their families. A third family lived
there - one whose size and whose makeup matched the bin Laden family members
that we believed most likely to be with Osama bin Laden. Our best
assessment, based on a large body of reporting from multiple sources, was
that bin Laden was living there with several family members, including his
youngest wife.

Everything we saw - the extremely elaborate operational security, the
brothers' background and their behavior, and the location and the design of
the compound itself was perfectly consistent with what our experts expected
bin Laden's hideout to look like. Keep in mind that two of bin Laden's
gatekeepers, Khalid Sheikh Mohammed and Abu Faraj al-Libbi, were arrested in
the settled areas of Pakistan.

Our analysts looked at this from every angle, considering carefully who
other than bin Laden could be at the compound. We conducted red team
exercises and other forms of alternative analysis to check our work. No
other candidate fit the bill as well as bin Laden did.

So the final conclusion, from an intelligence standpoint, was twofold. We
had high confidence that a high-value target was being harbored by the
brothers on the compound, and we assessed that there was a strong
probability that that person was Osama bin Laden.

More details will emerge in coming days, and there will no doubt be
questions about the operation. But for now, the CIA is doing publicly what
it hasn't been able to do in quite some time: take a victory lap.

 



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