http://www.newsmax.com/KenTimmerman/Timmerman-Iran-nuclear-Amano/2011/06/02/
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Iran Tests Nuclear Missile Warhead Design


Thursday, 02 Jun 2011 05:00 PM

By Ken Timmerman

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Iran has built and tested all the elements of a nuclear weapon design
similar to the bomb dropped on Nagasaki, Japan, in 1945, and is actively
working to fit it onto a ballistic missile capable of reaching Israel,
nuclear experts told Newsmax this week.

The International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) in Vienna first revealed that
Iran had been working on the tried and true nuclear weapons design three
years ago. But only last week did the U.N. agency spell out the details of
Iran's nuclear weapons-related work.


Amano, Iran, nuclear, missile, test


Yukiya Amano (AP photo)

The tests the IAEA says Iran has carried out "seem logically to be part of a
weaponization process," said Dr. James McNally, a former U.S. nuclear
weapons lab researcher. "The Iranians appear to be scoping out what needs to
be done to get to their goal."

In a technically-worded section of his May 24 report to the U.N. Security
Council, IAEA Director General Yukiya Amano said the Agency "remains
concerned about . . . activities related to the development of a nuclear
payload for a missile."

The IAEA said the weapon design uses hemispheres of highly-enriched uranium,
a design consistent with an implosion device. The agency also has
information showing that Iran had conducted "design work and modeling
studies involving the removal of the conventional high explosive payload
from the warhead of the Shahab-3 missile and replacing it with a spherical
nuclear payload."

"I don't see that as part of a peaceful nuclear program," McNally told
Newsmax in an interview.

Iran has displayed its Shahab-3 missiles in public parades draped in
English-language banners that read, "Israel Must be Wiped Off the Map." It
developed the missile in the mid-1990s with help from Russia and North
Korea, and conducted its first successful test flight in July 1998. 

Iran claims it has built several hundred of the missiles, which can reach
targets up to 1,200 miles, depending on the version.

The report listed six additional technologies it claims Iran has tested that
are specifically related to a nuclear implosion device. These include an
exotic uranium-deuterium neutron initiator that China gave Pakistan to use
as a nuclear "spark plug" nearly 30 years ago and that Pakistan has now
transferred to Iran.

Taken together, the new information from the IAEA shows that Iran has
carried out a "cold test" of its nuclear weapons design, former CIA nuclear
weapons analyst Dr. Peter Pry told Newsmax.

"These are all the components required to do not only a cold test but to
actually build a screw-ready nuclear weapon short of having the fuel," Pry
said. "If you master the explosive lenses and the neutron generator, then
really all you need is the fuel and the ability to shape the fuel into
hemispheres."

Iran has been able to shape uranium into hemispheres for several years,
according to earlier IAEA reports. In its latest report, the IAEA said that
Iran has conducted "full scale experiments" of the complex high-explosive
detonation component of the bomb, "work which may have benefited form the
assistance of foreign expertise."

As for nuclear fuel, the latest IAEA report shows that Iran has recovered
from the Stuxnet computer worm attack, and has accelerated the production of
enriched uranium at its declared centrifuge plant at Natanz.

"In constructing any program it is logical to identify each task needed for
producing a working nuclear explosive," McNally told Newsmax. "These steps
can be carried out almost independently in order to keep a low profile and
hide the proximity to the final nuclear detonation," he added.

Former assistant secretary of State for On-site Verification, Paula
Desutter, saw no ambiguity in Iran's nuclear test program. "That's
weaponization," she told Newsmax. "There is no other reason to conduct those
tests except to prepare a nuclear device."

Most Western intelligence analysts believe Iran has a parallel program and
has installed enrichment centrifuges at secret sites it has not declared to
the IAEA, using uranium milled from local mines that are not covered by IAEA
safeguards.

In April, Iran acknowledged that it was building enrichment centrifuge
components at a previously undeclared facility just outside Karaj, an
industrial city some 40 kilometers west of the capital, Tehran.

Two years ago, Iran admitted that it had built a secret enrichment plant in
the mountains outside Qom, and that the plant was just the first of 10 or
even 20 secret uranium enrichment plants it intended to build and ultimately
declare to the IAEA.

In its May 24 report, the IAEA noted that Iran had broken a verification
seal at its enrichment plant in Natanz, a event that "could theoretically
have allowed Iran to remove uranium from the process stream, an action that
could go undetected until the next IAEA inventory" this fall, according to
IranWatch, a website run by the Wisconsin Project for Nuclear Arms Control.

Gary Milhollin, president and CEO of the Wisconsin Project, told Newsmax
that the broken seal was "a big issue" and "raises questions" that the IAEA
needs to resolve.

"When you breach a seal, it's the beginning of a story. What we need is the
rest of the story," he said. 

While Milhollin doubted that a single broken seal indicated Iran intended to
"break out" of the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty and build one or several
bombs with its declared inventory of nuclear material, he called on the IAEA
to "make clear whether this is an important breach or just a slip-up."

IranWatch has published a chart showing that Iran in theory could build as
many as four nuclear warheads in a matter of months if it decided to enrich
the low-enriched uranium it has already produced to weapons grade.

Milhollin said he doubted Iran would pursue such a break-out scenario, at
least for now.

"They are working on becoming a virtual nuclear weapons state," Milhollin
told Newsmax. "The Iranian strategy is to do as much as they can to get as
close as they can to nuclear weapons capability without provoking a big
response from the outside world. So far it's been working pretty well.
They've been stopping just short of provoking a military response."

Iran's Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) reportedly took delivery of two
nuclear-capable re-entry vehicles for its Shahab-3 missiles in recent days,
according to former IRGC officer Reza Kahlili, author of a recent memoir, "A
Time to Betray."

Kahlili believes the IRGC will receive eight more nuclear warheads within
the next 10 months, and will mate nuclear weapons to two of the warheads no
later than March 2012.

"When IRGC Commander General Mohammad Ali Jaafari promised his troops that
in the near future we will witness the 'miraculous project,' which will
shock the world, he was referring to the fact that the Revolutionary Guards
will be armed with nuclear weapons," Kahlili said.

The move from virtual nuclear weapons state to actual nuclear weapons
capability "has been authorized by Iran's supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali
Khamenei," Kahlili believes.

"They have the knowledge, and now they have the materials. The time for
speculative argument is over. They are going to have it. They are going to
have the bomb," Kahlili told Newsmax.



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<http://www.newsmax.com/KenTimmerman/Timmerman-Iran-nuclear-Amano/2011/06/02
/id/398661#ixzz1OGc0dA9U> Iran Tests Nuclear Missile Warhead Design 
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