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Al-Qaeda in Sinai 

Saturday, 04 June 2011 10:36 P. David Hornik 

 
<http://www.rightsidenews.com/component/option,com_mailto/link,0ddc6942a2af0
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It started early this week when a "senior Egyptian security official" told
<http://www.jpost.com/Headlines/Article.aspx?id=222820>  the Egyptian-based
Al-Hayyat TV channel that over 400 Al-Qaeda members had made their way into
the Sinai Peninsula. They were said to be composed of Palestinians,
Bedouins, and foreign Arabs, and Egyptian security forces were said to be
pursuing them since they were "planning to carry out terror attacks in
Egypt."

The official told Al-Hayyat that they had already carried out "attacks
against [Egyptian] security forces in the Sinai city of El Arish." 

The report seemed to gain credence on Monday when Israeli prime minister
Binyamin Netanyahu told
<http://www.haaretz.com/news/international/netanyahu-warns-egypt-losing-cont
rol-of-growing-terror-groups-in-sinai-1.364949>  the Knesset's Foreign
Affairs and Defense Committee that "Egypt is having a hard time realizing
its sovereignty in Sinai. International terror organizations are stirring in
Sinai and their presence is increasing due to Sinai's connection to Gaza." 

Although Netanyahu left it vague, that "due to" can work both ways:
terrorists in Sinai, particularly if intent on attacking Israel, can make
their way into Gaza, and terrorists in Gaza-especially now that Egypt has
opened the Rafah crossing
<http://www.foxnews.com/world/2011/05/28/egypt-permanently-opens-gaza-border
-crossing/> -can make their way into Sinai.

Although it may have gotten a significant boost this week, the problem of
Al-Qaeda and other global jihadist forces in Sinai is not new. Last February
5, a gas pipeline to Israel and Jordan was blown up
<http://www.haaretz.com/news/diplomacy-defense/egypt-holds-gas-supply-to-isr
ael-and-jordan-after-pipeline-explosion-1.341368>  in northern Sinai, and it
was blown up <http://www.jpost.com/MiddleEast/Article.aspx?id=218033>  again
on April 27. The attacks are attributed to local Bedouins, global jihadists,
or a collaboration between the two.

Last August, five rockets were fired
<http://articles.latimes.com/2010/aug/02/world/la-fg-israel-rocket-attack-20
100803>  from Sinai at the Israeli resort town of Eilat; one, the only one
to cause damage, instead hit the adjacent Jordanian town of Aqaba, killing
one and wounding five. Global jihadists were believed to be behind it.
Another rocket, also probably fired from Sinai, had hit Aqaba in April
without causing casualties.

Severe bombing attacks have also struck Egyptian targets in Sinai: in 2006,
one in Dahab that killed at least 23; in 2005, one in Sharm el-Sheikh that
killed 88; and a double bombing at the Taba and Ras al-Shitan resorts in
2004 that took at least 34 lives.

The mounting terror threat from Sinai puts Israel in a difficult dilemma.
Under the 1979 Israeli-Egyptian peace treaty, Israel withdrew from Sinai
while Egypt agreed to leave it demilitarized, deploying only police and
border guards there. But after the first gas-pipeline bombing last February
5, Israel-for the first time since the peace treaty's signing-allowed Egypt
to move military forces into the peninsula.

Though the two Egyptian battalions were supposed to put a lid on the growing
anarchy, just days later, Israel turned down
<http://www.jpost.com/Defense/Article.aspx?id=207115>  an Egyptian request
to deploy additional forces, fearing "a complete breakdown of the peace
treaty with Cairo."

Upholding the peace treaty, then, means a growing presence for Al-Qaeda and
other global terror in Sinai, without adequate Egyptian-or any other-forces
to counter it. Derogating from the treaty means allowing Egypt-in the
post-Mubarak era that has seen rising extremism
<http://rubinreports.blogspot.com/2011/05/egypt-where-moderates-and-judges.h
tml>  there-back into the peninsula, which borders Gaza to the north and
Israel itself to the south, and from which Egypt attacked Israel in 1948 and
1967.

Above all, the situation underlines the fragility of the peace-process
paradigm, which has become axiomatic in international diplomacy and assumes
that Israel can gain peace in return for territorial concessions.

As long as the Mubarak government-which, while violating almost all the
other terms of the peace treaty, never militarily attacked Israel-ruled
Egypt, it could be claimed that the paradigm was at least succeeding in the
Egyptian case. Today, with Sinai becoming a terror haven that threatens both
Egypt and Israel, and with Israel rightly judging that letting Egyptian
forces enter it is even more dangerous, the days-1967 to 1979-when Israeli
forces controlled Sinai can only be regarded with nostalgia.

 



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