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Reset Turkey/EU Relations

 <http://www.project-syndicate.org/contributor/725> Javier Solana

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2011-06-13

 <http://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/solana9/English> Reset
Turkey/EU Relations

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MADRID - Just five months ago, Osama bin Laden was alive, Hosni Mubarak was
firmly in control in Egypt, and Zine el-Abidine Ben Ali ruled Tunisia with
an iron hand. Today, popular rebellion and political change have spread
throughout the region. We have witnessed brutal repression of protests in
Syria and Yemen, Saudi troops crossing into Bahrain, and an ongoing battle
for Libya.

For Europe, the "Arab Spring" should refocus attention on an issue largely
ignored in recent months: the benefits of Turkey's full membership in the
European Union. Given the tremendous opportunities present in the current
circumstances, the advantages for Europe of Turkey's accession should be
obvious. 

With Recep Tayyip Erdoðan now elected to another term as Turkey's prime
minister, and with Poland, a country well acquainted with the importance of
Europe's strategic position in the world, assuming the EU presidency at the
end of the month, now is a time for the Union and Turkey to "reset" their
negotiations over Turkish membership.

The good that Turkey can bring to Europe was visible even before the "Arab
Spring." Europe is, by definition, culturally diverse, so diversity is the
EU's destiny. And, if Europe is to become an active global player, rather
than a museum, it needs the fresh perspective and energy of the people of
Turkey.

Europe today is both larger and different compared to the Europe of 1999,
when Turkey was invited to begin the accession process. It is also
experiencing a profound economic crisis, which erupted around the same time
that the Lisbon Treaty - aimed at accommodating EU enlargement - was finally
approved. Had the treaty been approved in 2005 as intended, it would have
been in place for six years, and the strain placed by the crisis on EU
economic governance - so visible in the eurozone's recent problems - would
have been much more manageable.

But the EU always faces problems, resolves them, and moves on. Today, we
don't have a treasury, but we are about to have something similar.
Similarly, the European Central Bank has capacities today that no one
imagined in, say, 1997.

A major challenge that Europe must still face is migration, which will only
become a bigger problem over time. Between now and 2050, Europe's workforce
will decrease by 70 million. Maintaining our economy requires migration and
open EU borders - and facing down the populist movements in Europe that
would shun "outsiders."

Today's Turkey has also changed dramatically since 1999, both politically
and economically, and this has much to do with the EU accession process.
Indeed, without the attraction of the EU - its "soft" power - such changes
would not have occurred.

Economically, Turkey is now in the G-20 - and playing an effective role
there. And, politically, Turkey has emerged as a regional leader, a role
that it takes extremely seriously.

With just-concluded parliamentary elections, and a new constitution to be
approved, Turkey is approaching an epochal moment. I was a member of the
Spanish Constitutional Commission that wrote the Spanish constitution in
1975 and 1976, following the death of Franco, so I know what it is to move
from dictatorship to democracy - and how important it is that a constitution
be framed by consensus.

The EU-Turkey relationship began with an association agreement signed in
1963. Now the accession negotiations have started, and 35 "chapters" -
covering everything from agriculture to energy, competition, environment,
employment, social policy, and beyond - must be opened. We have already
opened 19 chapters - fewer than we would like. But the real problem is that
we have closed only one, and, worse, the pace of negotiations has slowed. In
fact, in the second half of 2010, nothing happened. I hope that meaningful
progress comes in 2011.

Turkey and the EU need each other. The EU now accounts for 75% of foreign
investment in Turkey and roughly half its exports and inward tourism.
Likewise, Europe's energy security depends on cooperation with Turkey on
transit of oil and natural gas from Central Asia and the Middle East.

We need each other politically as well. Turkey's neighborhood is our
neighborhood; its problems are our problems. The security benefits and
strategic advantages for the EU with Turkey as a member would be many,
starting with the relationship between the EU and NATO, of which Turkey has
long been a member.

Likewise, the EU's involvement in today's problems in the Mediterranean
region would be much easier in concert with Turkey. In Bosnia-Herzegovina,
EU-Turkey cooperation is fundamental to achieving a durable solution.

In 1999, Turkey did not want to become an accession candidate, because its
leaders thought that the conditions would be too tough. I was there; I
talked to Prime Minister Bülent Ecevit at midnight, then to President
Süleyman Demirel. And, two days later, Ecevit was in Helsinki to declare
formally Turkey's wish to become an EU member. And we said: Turkey will be
an EU member. I supported the signature of that document; I would do the
same today.

In these times, difficult and unpredictable but full of hope, the world
needs Turkey and the EU to work together. That does not mean meeting every
now and then to decide how to handle a certain problem. It means something
much deeper and well defined.  It means Turkey's admission to the EU. That
is my dream, and I will continue to fight to make it a reality.

Javier Solana formerly the European Union's High Representative for Foreign
and Security Policy, and a former Secretary General of NATO, is a
Distinguished Senior Fellow in Foreign Policy at the Brookings Institution
and President of the ESADE Center for Global Economy and Geopolitics. 

 



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