[This position, from a Russian sociologist, worths reading. I don't know
if it makes any sense or not; you will know better, I think - Artur]


"Bin Laden? Better Be Sure"
 by
Boris Kagarlitsky, Moscow Times




                                The terrorist attack on New York has
already been compared to
                                Pearl Harbor and the loss of the Kursk
submarine. Mikhail
                                Gorbachev likened it to Chernobyl, which
is probably a very
                                accurate analogy in terms of the shock
and ignominy experienced
                                by the U.S. administration. In both
cases, we saw incompetence
                                and helplessness initially, followed by
desperate attempts at
                                official face-saving.

                                There is, however, one analogy that does
not seem to have
                                occurred to anyone: the burning of the
Reichstag. The anti-Arab
                                and anti-Moslem hysteria that has
followed around the globe in
                                the wake of the catastrophe simply calls
out for comparison with
                                the events of the 1930s. The U.S.
authorities immediately started
                                the search for the guilty among Arabs,
Osama bin Laden cropped
                                up almost immediately as prime suspect
and alternative versions
                                have barely been entertained. In the
minutes immediately following
                                the explosions, it seems there was no
doubt whatsoever regarding
                                the "Arab" source of the attacks.
However, the more evidence
                                and arguments adduced in support of the
"Arab version," the
                                more shaky it seems to become. In a
television appearance
                                immediately after the explosions, the
well-known pundit
                                Vyacheslav Nikonov noted that the guilty
would undoubtedly be
                                found, and if not, they would be
"nominated," adding cynically: "It
                                would be in Russia's interest if the
Taliban and bin Laden were
                                nominated." To give him his due,
Alexander Gordon -- who
                                spoke on two TV programs -- pointed out
that it could be
                                far-right militia groups (such as those
behind the Oklahoma City
                                bombing) and not Islamic terrorists at
all. Analysts have
                                emphasized how easy it would be to carry
out each individual
                                element of the terrorist operation:
smuggling knives aboard a
                                plane, breaking into the cockpit, etc.

                                However to coordinate all these actions
in different parts of the
                                country without making a single serious
blunder is devilishly hard.
                                The crime committed on Sept. 11 must have
required enormous
                                efforts in management, control and
logistics. The strength of
                                Islamic terrorism is in the simplicity of
organization and its
                                unpredictability. All groups operate
                                autonomously. Even the destruction of
command centers doesn't
                                have a major impact, insofar as every one
of Allah's warriors is
                                capable of acting on his own. The attacks
on New York and
                                Washington were very carefully
coordinated, the minutest details
                                were thoroughly thought through, and at
no stage were there
                                serious lapses. It would appear that the
operation was organized
                                and carried out by people who had free
passage around the
                                country and were considered to be above
suspicion. If they are
                                professionals, they did not acquire their
experience in
                                underground terrorist groups. It cannot
be excluded that the
                                attacks were organized by forces within
the United States, and
                                this would have to be people with
considerable military
                                experience. Why is it that no seems even
to consider a conspiracy
                                by far-right groups as a possibility? The
masterminds could easily
                                have covertly used people of Arab
nationality to carry out the
                                attacks. Whoever it is behind the
Washington and New York
                                attacks, in Russia and Israel they have
already played a role
                                comparable to the burning of the
Reichstag. Far-right politicians --
                                "upholders of the values of western
civilisation" -- have already
                                spoken out calling for revenge. Over and
over, one and the same
                                thing is repeated: "Moslems are subhuman
barbarians and you
                                cannot conduct negotiations with them.
They are not like us, and
                                thus our criteria of democracy and human
rights do not apply to
                                them." "No need to fear unpopular
measures," some say. "No
                                need to limit ourselves to democratic
conventions," others chime
                                in. At a minimum they are after: arrests
without warrants, mass
                                deportations and wide-scale searches.
Already reports are
                                coming from the United States of racist
attacks against Islamic
                                communities. It is clear that mass
repressions will lead to mass
                                resistance. That is how you make enemies.
Do those who are
                                trying to scare us with the Moslem threat
really not understand
                                that? They understand it full well. They
simply believe that a final
                                solution is possible -- if not globally,
then at least on a more
                                limited territory. As a maximum, they are
baying for ethnic
                                cleansing and genocide.



                                26/09/2001 . 23:56

Boris Kagarlitsky is a Moscow-based sociologist.

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