I feel this article came up with the wrong interpretations As a mathematician, I ask that people do not let their self-confidence in integrity get bamboozled by words such as complexity and chaos. For starters, I suggests entertaining the ideas that complexity is simplicity if you look at wholes before parts;
what people could start enjoy knowing is that: If people who study a phenomenons future dynamics in parts come up with a different consequential interpretation than people mapping whole, it is vital to openly debate the two answers, however unconventional the wholes forecasts may be It is not true that future exponentials are always unpredictable see for example these 1984 forecasts http://www.normanmacrae.com/netfuture.html#Anchor- Changin-27687 or read Thomas Friedmans more uptodate future history http://boards.charlierose.com/board/topic.asp?ti=15737 BIG PICTURE SIMPLICITY The relevance today is that like many 1980s systems thinkers -eg Buckminster Fuller - we can be almost sure that globalisation (and all networking connectivity) will compound one of two very opposite scenarios depending on whether: *Global decisions are mostly made in bits by a few superpowerful people *Or evolve with 2 million global villages each determining its communal gravities but also interconnecting boundaries harmoniously The scenarios forecast that one will mean the end of most people two to four generations out (sorry if this timing strikes you as imprecise but as a blip in nature's world this is as precise as I can make it), whilst one will mean the most harmonious and fulfilling time to be alive everywhere. Crucially to me the chances of an in-between state 2 to 4 generations out barely exist it is one or other of these futures that will exponentially compound. I would suggest these are the key questions NOT to be bamboozled out of Which scenario is the end game of which type of governance? Which type of governance will we get unless a lot of people work to transform the patterns that are already spinning? By when will globalisations spin become almost impossible to turn round? If what I have tried to summarise matters to you there is more at http://exponentials.blogspot.com and http://valuesystem.blogspot.com as well as much more if we choose some contexts but that tends to be most quickly mapped if you rehearse that biggest context which you see as one overall invitational challenge to reconcile When I am being a tad more controversial I will stand up and say the way we train or condition our children to think now is the war that horrifies me most of all. Because - even the most ethical or religious people may never see the choice that waved by us chris macrae wcbn...@easynet.co.uk --------------------------------------------------- This mail sent through http://www.easynetdial.co.uk * * ========================================================== osl...@listserv.boisestate.edu ------------------------------ To subscribe, unsubscribe, change your options, view the archives of osl...@listserv.boisestate.edu: http://listserv.boisestate.edu/archives/oslist.html To learn about OpenSpaceEmailLists and OSLIST FAQs: http://www.openspaceworld.org/oslist
