I think the equation will be different for the D700. The 5D was less
camera than a 30D with a much better sensor, unless you needed the
better sensor (or improved low-light AF) the 30D/40D run rings around
the 5D for most people, for 1/3 the money. But the D700 essentially
gives you slightly more camera than a D300 (you give up 1fps without
the grip and the 100% finder, but gain an improved UI, built-in level
and a much bigger finder) and a D3's sensor. Nikon's going to sell a
metric buttload of D700's. Frankly, I expect its going to seriously
canabilize D3 sales as the pro market that doesn't need the marginally
faster AF or extra couple fps or 100% finder will much rather pay
$3000 for a D700 than $5000 for a D3, given the identical IQ and the
D700 having the anti-dust feature the D3 lacks.

-Adam

On Tue, Jul 1, 2008 at 12:23 PM, John Francis <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
>
> I don't really think it matters.   I very much doubt if a "full
> frame" camera will account for a significant proportion of sales
> in the next five years, let alone two.  I'm sure Canon sell at
> least one hundred 40Ds for each 5D or 1Ds.
>
>
> On Tue, Jul 01, 2008 at 09:12:44AM -0400, Paul Stenquist wrote:
>> Yeah, I don't think it will take that long. There may well be an
>> interim product that will spur sales a bit -- a K30D. And of course
>> more DA* lenses. They'll survive as a second tier player.
>> Paul
>> On Jul 1, 2008, at 8:53 AM, David Savage wrote:
>>
>> > 2008/7/1 Mark Roberts <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>:
>> >> If the Nikon D700 starts out at three grand and hits 2500 within a
>> >> year,
>> >> I'm guessing around $2000.00 for a Pentax full-frame in 2010. I'll
>> >> order
>> >> the first one that hits B&H :)
>> >
>> > If it takes 2 more years for them to release a FF DSLR they are going
>> > to be well and truly behind the 8 ball in the sales game.
>> >
>> > Cheers,
>> >
>> > Dave
>> >
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-- 
M. Adam Maas
http://www.mawz.ca
Explorations of the City Around Us.

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