Thanks for the insights Ryan. Very interesting. Points taken.

Cheers,

Cotty

>> In a year's time when the D120 is out, I reckon a D30 can be picked up
>> for less than 500 GBP. That's my prediction. A year later, maybe 200. A
>
>I don't think you can fairly say that there will be a D120, D200, and so on.
>For one, if the chip doesn't get much bigger than now then that's getting to
>be a pretty small well size- which means more noise.  This contradicts the
>wonderful low-noise characteristic of the CMOS D60 sensor.  Even if the chip
>goes up to full frame (if possible), this makes for a large die size and
>therefore much more expense.   Not to mention that there's an ultimate
>physical limit to the smallest well size;  unlike a non-optical chip.
>
>Also,  there's not an infinite amount of information to be had thru a 35mm
>lens system-  at some point the noise from these smaller wells will exceed
>the benefit of capturing more data.
>
>> year later it will be unsalable. It's basically an electronics nightmare
>> inside. I wouldn't touch one without a warranty, and then I'd pay for
>> extended warranty for as long as I could.
>>
>
>Electronics nightmare?   Solid state electronics don't wear out.  period.
>An MTBF on a DSLR is naturally longer than the same SLR with film transport.
>
>> If the above is realised, I'd say that's pretty much akin to computer
>> pricing. Maybe even worse.
>>
>
>Nope.   Computers pricing/moore's law is all about making smaller and
>smaller transistors without making huge dies.


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