Messy Business So ok, if the shipping industry (in its widest sense) is to blame...what do the experts at the German Institute for Economic Research think are the solutions? Do they agree that fixing Somalia and having an increased naval presence will help? No!
Au contraire, they actually believe that, "piracy is likely to increase if Somalia's domestic". Oh rats....they see that stability in Somalia is correlated with an increase in pirate attacks. Their results show that pirates benefit from local improvements in governance. Indeed short-term gains in local stability have always moved pirates further into their `piratical sweet spot', while periods of insecurity have actually disrupted their activities. So ok, what of the boys in blue and the great work of the naval force, surely they must be doing some good? No again! The report paints a picture that naval counter-piracy initiatives are not a significant deterrent to pirates. They go on to stress, "While the navies correctly highlight their achievements in terms of deterring attacks on specific ships and in guarding food deliveries these are essentially short term, geographically limited successes. We find that pirates have extended their sphere of operation from the Gulf of Aden (where shipping traffic and naval forces are concentrated) into areas that are not easily monitored, such as the open waters off the coast of Somalia, the Arabian Sea and the Indian Ocean off the coast of Kenya, Tanzania and the Seychelles". In other words, of the two solutions that the international community has proposed (naval intervention and the restoration of order to Somalia) neither at the moment is likely to succeed. Moreover, the underlying lack of incentives to stop piracy for pirates, for the insurance industry and for international navies - may render most policy solutions useless. This is a major concern and is actually one that the International Chamber of Shipping (ICS) is desperately trying to raise. For all the plaudits, the pat on the backs and the cheers there are serious concerns about the lack of co-ordinated intelligence on piracy attacks in the Indian Ocean. While the naval "successes" in the Gulf of Aden have been welcome, there now seems an urgent need for a strategic review of existing anti-piracy operations out in the Indian Ocean. Sadly it seems the closer we get to a solution the further it slips from our grasp. ------------------------------------ Moderator tdk bertanggung jawab atas kebenaran isi dan/atau identitas asli pengirim berita. ATTACHMENT akan dibanned, krmkan ke pelaut-owner atau upload ke FILE. Yahoo! Groups Links <*> To visit your group on the web, go to: http://groups.yahoo.com/group/pelaut/ <*> Your email settings: Individual Email | Traditional <*> To change settings online go to: http://groups.yahoo.com/group/pelaut/join (Yahoo! ID required) <*> To change settings via email: pelaut-dig...@yahoogroups.com pelaut-fullfeatu...@yahoogroups.com <*> To unsubscribe from this group, send an email to: pelaut-unsubscr...@yahoogroups.com <*> Your use of Yahoo! Groups is subject to: http://docs.yahoo.com/info/terms/