Bob writes, > >The discussion on Kondratieff is interesting and timely but does anyone know if >there are recent studies which incorporate the newest techniques in time series >analysis, and where can you find the best data for this kind of exercise? As ha >s been mentioned in earlier posts, most recent attempts at analysis have been >dogmatic to say the least and perhaps a little fresh air from Statistics might >liven up the discussion. >Em solidariedade, Bob........................ Frankly, I cannot agree. The discussion is boring and absurd. Why not talk about the "predictions of Nostradamus"? I might as well sign up on a list dealing with the superantural, really! "Statistics" as a way to "liven up the discussion"? Get real! Thats where all these fantasies come from in the first place: from people trying too hard to believe and twisting a bunch of numbers that they barely understand into a theory about reality that is nice and comforting. But if you really like this stuff, I know a great guy in Waco who can explain all kinds of stuff for ya! john cross