Bob writes,

>
>The discussion on Kondratieff is interesting and timely but does anyone know if
>there are recent studies which incorporate the newest techniques in time series
>analysis, and where can you find the best data for this kind of exercise? As ha
>s been mentioned in earlier posts, most recent attempts at analysis have been
>dogmatic to say the least and perhaps a little fresh air from Statistics might
>liven up the discussion.
>Em solidariedade, Bob........................


Frankly, I cannot agree. The discussion is boring and absurd. Why not talk
about the "predictions of Nostradamus"? I might as well sign up on a list
dealing with the superantural, really! "Statistics" as a way to "liven up
the discussion"? Get real! Thats where all these fantasies come from in the
first place: from people trying too hard to believe and twisting a bunch
of numbers that they barely understand into a theory about reality that is
nice and comforting. 

        But if you really like this stuff, I know a great guy in Waco who can
explain all kinds of stuff for ya! 

        john cross

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