---------- Forwarded message ---------- Date: Thu, 21 Sep 1995 11:54:18 -0400 From: Michael H. Belzer <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> >From Michael Belzer: This note is in response to Michael Etchison's reference to Michael Belzer's summary that "truck drivers who earn the lowest wages and are least likely to have union representation are most likely to absorb unpaid time." This particular research doesn't directly address employee quality variables. The survey on which it is based, however, revealed that managers viewed applicants for jobs in the truckload industry (the ones likely to get the bad jobs) to be inferior to those they received before deregulation. Managers for less-than-truckload carriers viewed their applicants to be better than ever. However, my research suggests it is market economics in the industry that drives the segmentation of wages and conditions into good jobs and bad jobs. In effect, managers of truckload carriers don't have the luxury of paying good wages to good employees, as suggested by Mr. Etchinson. The product market does not allow it. Further, research by Barry Hirsch ("Trucking Deregulation and Labor Earnings: Is the Union Premium a Compensating Differential?" _Journal of Labor Economics_, Vol. 11, Nol. 2, April 1993) uses census data and finds union drivers have superior characteristics to non union drivers. In longitudinal analysis, he finds that those who enter the period as nonunion drivers and leave the period as union drivers have superior human resource characteristics (education, experience, etc.). If there is any relationship between pay and the motivation and personal characteristics suggested by Mr. Etchinson, it runs opposite to the one he implies. The dual factors of unionization and industry segment determine pay and conditions (which are linked), and driver quality is linked to both (both positively). Within the legal structure today, it is virtually impossible to unionize long- and medium-haul truckload carriers, even if the employees desire representation. If he ran a trucking company, he wouldn't have the luxury to pay according to the differentials he suggests. My minimum wage estimates are averages, which means a lot of drivers may earn even less. That's the competition. Michael H. Belzer School of Industrial and Labor Relations Cornell University Ithaca, NY 14853-3901 voice: (607) 255-6185 fax: (607) 255-0107 e-mail: [EMAIL PROTECTED]