>I'm a Henwoodite in predicting big global aspects of the future, but just 
>an observation.

What is this, a plague of Henwoodism? first Louis, and now the dominoes 
start falling... once we start down that slippery slope...
;-)

BTW, I don't predict the future. Part of the nature of the current boom (as 
with previous ones) is that there's tremendous amounts of uncertainty.

>The dollar as a world currency is closely intertwined with U.S. military 
>dominance. Would not a really substantial shift in the world financial 
>and/or economic structure have to have at least one preliminary -- the 
>withdrawal of U.S. troops from Europe? A serious
>struggle for hegemony between European and U.S. capital seems unlikely as 
>long as U.S. troops are the major military force in europe.

Yeah, that's why I expect that the dollar will continue to be the world 
currency for a long time. A reason why the US$ became (almost) "as good as 
gold" is that the US ran balance of payments deficits during the 1960s and 
1960, creating the needed money supply for international exchanges. Much of 
this was part of the Cold War military offensive (when the Chicago TRIBUNE 
published maps showing the interlocking chains of US "allies" (SEATO, the 
OAS, etc.) indicating that the sun would never set...), along with foreign 
aid, which was largely military in function. A lot of this was 
international investment, too.

Jim Devine [EMAIL PROTECTED] &  http://liberalarts.lmu.edu/~jdevine

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