Doug, thanks for the info and a HAPPY NEW YEAR!!!!!!\

maggie coleman [EMAIL PROTECTED]

In a message dated 96-12-30 15:24:20 EST, [EMAIL PROTECTED] (Doug Henwood)
writes:

>Subj:  [PEN-L:7987] Re: Fwd: Re: cost of job loss
>Date:  96-12-30 15:24:20 EST
>From:  [EMAIL PROTECTED] (Doug Henwood)
>Sender:        [EMAIL PROTECTED]
>Reply-to:      [EMAIL PROTECTED]
>To:    [EMAIL PROTECTED] (Multiple recipients of list)
>
>At 11:44 AM 12/30/96, [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
>
>>What is the definition of 'core' inflation and what is the difference
>between
>>'core' inflation and inflation as measured by the cpi?  Are the two types
of
>>inflation defined in relation to each other or are they seperate?
>
>"Core" inflation is the CPI excluding food and energy prices. The BLS
>publishes several special indexes like this, but this is the most popular
>one. The logic is that food & energy display great short-term volatility
>that may distort the underlying trend. This is of special interest to Wall
>Street, which is more concerned with month-to-month and quarter-to-quarter
>figures than are most civilians, who look at year-to-year numbers.
>
>Similar things are done with other major series, like durable goods, where
>aircraft orders are sometimes stripped away because they're so volatile,
>and retail sales, which are often looked at ex-auto, because the car market
>has a life of its own separate from more proasic consumer goods.
>
>Besides, Wall Streeters are usually looking for a "story" to tell - one
>consistent with either their own prejudices or the sales effort - so
>looking at subindexes is sometimes a way to avoid embarrassing facts.
>Another favorite ploy is to look at seasonally unadjusted numbers, if the
>tale they tell is friendlier to what you want to hear. People with bond
>inventories or portfolios under management will go to great lengths to
>uncover evidence of economic weakness lying under the headline numbers.
>
>Doug
>
>--
>
>Doug Henwood
>Left Business Observer
>250 W 85 St
>New York NY 10024-3217
>USA
>+1-212-874-4020 voice
>+1-212-874-3137 fax
>email: <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
>web: <http://www.panix.com/~dhenwood/LBO_home.html>
>
>
>
>
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---------------------
Forwarded message:
From:   [EMAIL PROTECTED] (Doug Henwood)
Sender: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Reply-to:       [EMAIL PROTECTED]
To:     [EMAIL PROTECTED] (Multiple recipients of list)
Date: 96-12-30 15:24:20 EST

At 11:44 AM 12/30/96, [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

>What is the definition of 'core' inflation and what is the difference
between
>'core' inflation and inflation as measured by the cpi?  Are the two types of
>inflation defined in relation to each other or are they seperate?

"Core" inflation is the CPI excluding food and energy prices. The BLS
publishes several special indexes like this, but this is the most popular
one. The logic is that food & energy display great short-term volatility
that may distort the underlying trend. This is of special interest to Wall
Street, which is more concerned with month-to-month and quarter-to-quarter
figures than are most civilians, who look at year-to-year numbers.

Similar things are done with other major series, like durable goods, where
aircraft orders are sometimes stripped away because they're so volatile,
and retail sales, which are often looked at ex-auto, because the car market
has a life of its own separate from more proasic consumer goods.

Besides, Wall Streeters are usually looking for a "story" to tell - one
consistent with either their own prejudices or the sales effort - so
looking at subindexes is sometimes a way to avoid embarrassing facts.
Another favorite ploy is to look at seasonally unadjusted numbers, if the
tale they tell is friendlier to what you want to hear. People with bond
inventories or portfolios under management will go to great lengths to
uncover evidence of economic weakness lying under the headline numbers.

Doug

--

Doug Henwood
Left Business Observer
250 W 85 St
New York NY 10024-3217
USA
+1-212-874-4020 voice
+1-212-874-3137 fax
email: <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
web: <http://www.panix.com/~dhenwood/LBO_home.html>



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