Re: a proposed leading indicator

[boddhisatva]

                Doug, 



        I occurs to me that illicit drugs should be considered as well.  If
one could control for "supply shocks" like changing governments, transient
eradication efforts, etc.  It would seem that something like planted domestic
acreage of marijuana, or the average price of a kilogram of cocaine in five
or ten places around the country might be a good indicator.  




        peace