Chernomyrdin Says He Will Form Government Without Parliament's Approval

By CELESTINE BOHLEN

MOSCOW -- While anxiety over Russia's deepening economic crisis spread,
Acting Prime Minister Viktor Chernomyrdin said Tuesday he will form an
acting government without waiting for parliamentary approval.

"In the current, most grave situation, the country cannot stay without a
government," he told a meeting of government officials. "Delays and
inaction may throw us back several years. This will not happen. We must
not allow this under any circumstances."

Chernomyrdin did not say who he would name to his acting government,
but, given the political calculations of the moment, his statement was
seen as an attempt to speed up a languid political process and to force
the hand of his opponents.

After Chernomyrdin's nomination as prime minister went down to a
resounding defeat in the parliament's lower house on Monday, political
leaders were still arguing Tuesday whether the second showdown should
take place on Friday or Monday.

The outcome of the political stalemate remained uncertain, as both sides
in Russia's recurring political battle dug in their positions. President
Boris Yeltsin, stopping by a Moscow school for the opening of the
academic year, vowed to get Chernomyrdin confirmed in a week's time,
while leaders of the Communist opposition said they would never approve
him, even if it led to the dissolution of the lower house of parliament.

Yeltsin, who had ducked from view during the early days of the political
crisis, seemed to be regaining some of his fighting form, despite rumors
that his health had taken a turn for the worse. Although he seemed tired
during a television interview last Friday, Western diplomats reported
that he was in good form during private meetings last week with
Bulgarian president Petar Stoyanov, showing full command of his material
and engaging in give-and-take.

But in the current crisis, which is threatening to engulf the entire
Russian economy, Yeltsin is still on the defensive, fending off attacks
from a Communist-led opposition bent on breaking his grip on power. An
attempt to shift some of the powers of the presidency to the parliament
collapsed last week, when the Communists backed away from an agreement
that they saw as a tactical ruse to win Chernomyrdin's confirmation.

Behind-the-scenes jockeying continued Tuesday, with the focus shifting
to the parliament's upper house, which is to meet with Chernomyrdin on
Thursday. If the upper house, made up of Russia's increasingly powerful
regional governors and legislative chiefs, endorses Chernomyrdin, then
his chances of approval in the lower house would improve, said Vladimir
Ryzhkov, the parliamentary leader of Chernomyrdin's party, Our Home Is
Russia.

Another option, Ryzhkov said, would be to float new names for the job of
prime minister -- Moscow's mayor, Yuri Luzhkov, and the chairman of the
upper house, Yegor Stroyev, have both been mentioned -- for Yeltsin's
consideration.

Another top ally of Chernomyrdin, Aleksandr Shokhin, Tuesday called on
Yeltsin to initiate another round of consultations with parliamentary
leaders on the choice of a prime minister to replace Sergei Kiriyenko,
who was dismissed last week. "The tension is very high so far," said
Shokhin.

Chernomyrdin's determination to name an acting government even without
his nomination being approved could be interpreted as a tactical move to
get the political process off dead center or as a desperate appeal for
consensus in the face of a national crisis.

Tuesday he expressed anger and frustration at the parliament's leisurely
pace. "Nobody should get carried away so light-headedly by this game,"
he said. "What are we doing to the country, to its people? Don't they
feel pain, are they not concerned or offended by what is happening in
Russia?"

As the politicians squabbled, the value of the ruble continued to slip,
falling to 11.8 on an electronic inter-bank currency exchange, which,
since the shutdown of the Moscow's main currency exchange last week, has
served as the best barometer of the currency's worth.

According to banking experts, the rate on the electronic exchange is in
effect dictated by market forces, and reflects the refusal of the
Central Bank of Russia to use its fast-dwindling foreign currency
reserves to defend the ruble.

But uncertainty about the ruble's true worth continued to pummel
Russia's embattled consumers, who are seeing prices skittering all over
the place, jumping as high as 60 percent on some items in some stores,
although not in all. Some stores have stayed shut, as a way of
sidestepping the tricky question of what their merchandise is worth.

With faith in the ruble falling fast, Russian consumers have spent the
last week sheltering their savings in everything from gold to cars, and
television sets to furniture. But now, increasingly, the spending spree
has moved on to foodstuffs, as Russians, fearing the worst, flock to
wholesale markets and large supermarkets for the few bargains that
remain.

New stocks of imported goods have been held up in the wake of the
economic crisis, as importers halt shipments on orders that have not
been paid for. Russia, and Moscow in particular, has become heavily
dependent on imports for both food and consumer goods, a situation which
many see as fraught with danger given the country's current shortage of
money.

At the regular weekend wholesale market in Zhukovsky, a town 20 miles
outside Moscow, shoppers on Sunday were carting away boxes of sunflower
oil, macaroni, long-life milk and sugar, said Lida Botcharova, a
48-year-old local resident.

"They were buying everything that will last," she said, noting that
prices had already jumped, from 10 rubles to 14 for a bottle of
sunflower oil, and from 10 to 19 rubles for a package of detergent. Some
goods had run out after a half day of frantic sales, she said, "Who
knows what will be there next week."

In the absence of any concerted action by the government or the Central
Bank, experts Tuesday were predicting that the ruble will only continue
to slide, pushing prices up in a self-fulfilling inflationary spiral
made worse by merchants' speculating on popular fears.

"What the Central Bank has been doing in the past few days defies
description," said Dmitri Vasilyev, chairman of Russia's Federal
Securities Commission, at a press conference Tuesday. "Shops are closed,
there are no goods and no bank payments are made. This should not
happen."

At his government meeting Tuesday, Chernomyrdin said he was preparing a
series of "tough and credible actions" to restore faith in the ruble,
and the economy. "We've had enough talk," he said.

Among his priorities he said were protecting savings accounts, restoring
the currency market, and preserving the banking system. He also said he
would move to simplify the Russian tax system, and lower profit taxes in
an attempt to stimulate local production.

"We have no more margin for mistakes," he said. "In this situation, the
government does not have a right not to work."

--
Gregory Schwartz
Dept. of Political Science
York University
4700 Keele St.
Toronto, Ontario
M3J 1P3
Canada

Tel: (416) 736-5265
Fax: (416) 736-5686
Web: http://www.yorku.ca/dept/polisci



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