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BLS DAILY REPORT, FRIDAY, NOVEMBER 6, 1998

__The economy continued to show signs of slowing in October, producing
116,000 new payroll jobs, seasonally adjusted, according to data
released a day earlier than expected after part of the jobs report was
inadvertently posted on the  BLS web site.  The jobless rate remained at
4.6 percent.  Employment growth in October was smaller than the upwardly
revised 157,000 in September, with a sharp decline in factory jobs
partially offsetting a gain in service employment. ...  (Daniel J. Roy
__The nation's jobless rate remained steady at 4.6 percent, despite
lower-than-expected job growth, the Labor Department said in a report
widely viewed by analysts as a further sign that U.S. economic growth is
slowing.  Stock prices rose on the news, amid continuing hopes that the
cooling economy will prompt Fed policymakers to cut short-term interests
rates later this month. ...  (John M. Berry in Washington Post, page
F1).
__The United States economy is still expanding, but much more slowly
than in the first half of the year. ...  "The pattern is the same as for
the past few months," said Tom Nardone, an economist at BLS.  "Payroll
growth is falling off, but not as dramatically as we feared." ...
(Sylvia Nasar in New York Times, page C1).
__Compared with the heady growth of just a few months ago, U.S.
companies created jobs at a slower pace in October, and layoff
announcements began to mount. ...  (John Simons in Wall Street Journal,
page A2). 

__BLS said it is investigating what appears to be the inadvertent early
release of October employment data on the Internet, BLS Commissioner
Katharine Abraham said yesterday. After discovering the supplemental
tables of the employment situation report had been released, Abraham
decided to release the entire report a day early.  At a quickly called
press briefing, Abraham said the data were posted on the Internet by
mistake.  She said it was not an intentional violation of internal
security procedures. ...  BLS discovered the information was on its Web
page after being informed by Ray Stone, a partner at Stone & McCarthy
Research Associates, a Princeton, N.J., based research firm, according
to Stone's partner Ward McCarthy.  "Ray noticed there was something new
on the BLS web site, "McCarthy said.  "He was very surprised to find
part of the employment report.  We alerted our customers to the numbers
and then he called BLS.  Abraham said the only similar incident she or
BLS senior officials know of was the early release of producer price
index information on the Internet 2 or 2-l/2 years ago.  "No one in the
U.S. had accessed that data before we discovered it,"  Abraham said.
The employment numbers, however, were accessed, although Abraham could
not say how many web browsers had seen them.  BLS' web pages have on
average 3 million hits a month, Abraham said. ...  The release of
economic data often has a strong affect on the performance of stock and
bond markets.  Stocks rose after the employment report's unscheduled
release  (Daniel J. Roy in Daily Labor Report, page AA-2).
__BLS data released prematurely on the BLS web site was a goof that
moved stock, says John M. Berry in The Washington Post (page F1). ...
Berry says that "instead of rushing the closely guarded information to
his clients, Ray Stone, the first person who noticed the premature
release of BLS data, said he called BLS officials to alert them." ...
Stone said he called the agency at 9:15 a.m. to report what he had
discovered.  The first two officials he sought were in meetings.
Telling a secretary that he was calling about an "emergency," Stone
finally reached statistician John Stinson, who took the bad news.  Stone
said then that he would sit on the information for another 5 minutes,
and that Stinson could call him back if the data were not what the web
site indicated they were.  There was no call back, but within the BLS a
scramble was on. ...  
__The premature release by the Labor Department of sensitive job figures
caused a rally in the bond market, whipsawing traders who had bet on
bond declines ahead of the Government's auction of $10 billion in
30-year Treasuries.  They had hoped to distribute the new supply of
bonds before the release of the job report that had been scheduled for
today.  The rally later retreated, and the yield on the 30-year bond
finished at 5.34 percent, up from 5.32 percent.  The Treasury would make
no estimate of the impact on its borrowing costs, though a spokesman did
observe that other factors could have intervened between 9:20 a.m. when
rates responded almost instantaneously to the leak, and the 1 p.m.
auction. ...  (New York Times, page C9).
__Investors were catapulted into confusion yesterday morning, when a
web-surfing market analyst, Ray Stone, discovered that the BLS had
inadvertently posted some of its most sensitive data.  After giving the
BLS 7 minutes advance notice, Stone shared the news with his clients via
his own Internet site and Bloomberg Business News at 9:22 a.m. EST.
Thirty-six minutes later, the red-faced government agency confirmed the
accuracy of the data to financial wire services, and released the full
report to the public at 1:30 p.m.  Lots of money can be made and lost in
financial markets is half an hour.  The mistake was just the latest
cautionary tale about the Internet's power to disperse information in
the blink of an eye without any hope of calling it back.  After Mr.
Stone's phone call, BLS took the data off its web site.  But it didn't
matter.  Now, with the explosive growth of the Internet, the precautions
against inadvertent disclosure haven't always kept up. ...  BLS
Commissioner Katharine Abraham described the incident as "unacceptable"
and said the agency would take steps to avoid a repeat. ...  (Wall
Street Journal, page B1).

New claims filed with state agencies for unemployment insurance benefits
decreased by 10,000 to a seasonally adjusted total of 312,000 for the
week ending October 31, the Employment and Training Administration of
the Department of Labor reports. ...  (Daily Labor Report, page D-1).

Business activity in the non-manufacturing sector continued to expand in
October, but at a slower pace than in September, the National
Association of Purchasing Management says.  New orders grew at a slower
rate in October than in September, and the backlog of orders decreased,
signaling weakness.  But employment grew at about the same rate as the
previous month .  The employment index edged up, marking the 16 straight
months of employment growth.  The industries with the highest rate of
growth were legal services, agriculture, retail trade, real estate, and
"other services".  New export and new import orders fell.  Prices paid
by  non-manufacturers for materials and services decreased at a slower
rate in October (Daily Labor Report, page A-9).

__U.S. workforce reductions reached a 33-month high or 91,531 job cuts
in October,  Challenger, Gray & Christmas Inc. report.  October's
extensive job cuts - which included layoffs, early retirement, and
special considerations to leave the company - surpassed September's
figures by 25 percent.  After only 10 months, October's extensive cuts
make 1998 the third largest job cut year of the decade, with a total of
522,981 job cuts.  Employers blame job cuts on the economic crisis in
Asia and South America, as well as on plummeting oil prices, according
to the report. ...  (Daily Labor Report, page A-10; Wall Street Journal,
page A2).
__Nearly 200,000 manufacturing jobs have disappeared since March, an
important reason that consumers have begun to get nervous about the
global economic outlook.  Challenger, Gray & Christmas said the cuts
could be attributed largely to mergers, cost pressures, and low oil
prices. ...  (New York Times, page C1).  

A national panel of scientists issued a stern warning yesterday about
the hazards of teenage employment.  A committee of the National Research
Council and the Institute of Medicine said young people who work more
than 20 hours a week, regardless of their economic background, are less
likely to finish high school and more likely to use drugs and run into
trouble with the police.  The panel also warned that work can be
dangerous.  Young people are injured at work at twice the rate of
adults, and 100,000 show up in hospital emergency rooms each year with
job-related injuries. Today, eight of every 10 American teenagers hold
down a job sometime during their school years.  The current tight labor
market has made them even more desirable to employers who can't get
adults to fill minimum wage jobs in fast food restaurants, grocery
stores, retail shops, and nursing homes. ...  (Washington Post, page
A3).

The National Park Service isn't your average employer, and some of these
aren't your average workplace hazards - snakebites, avalanches,
white-water rapids, and hypothermia.  One of the prevalent  occupational
illnesses -not found in the typical office environment - is lyme
disease.  Now the National Park Service has asked the Occupational
Safety and Health Administration to help.  Overall, the NPS rate of
injury and illness at its 375 parks far exceeds the average in the
federal government. ...  (Washington Post, page F1).

__Alan Greenspan, Fed chairman, says that investors and lenders appeared
to be calming down after the fright thrown into them by global financial
turmoil, suggesting that the central bank is less concerned than a few
weeks ago that a credit squeeze could derail the economy.  Economists
said the Fed was still more likely to than not to trim interest rates
again this month. ...  (New York Times, page C1).
__Fed Chairman Greenspan, speaking less than 2 weeks before the Fed's
interest-rate policy committee is set to meet, said he is "already
seeing significant signs of some reversals" in the peculiar bond market
behavior that prompted the Fed to cut interest rates in September and
October. ...  (Wall Street Journal, page A2).

Retailers across the nation reported a better-than-expected 4.8 percent
sales rise in October, led by demand for clothes at specialty shops and
name-brand goods at discount retailers. ...  (New York Times, page C9;
Washington Post, page F3).

USA Today's feature "Economic Indicators" (page 4B) shows the estimates
for productivity for the third quarter of 1998, due out November 10, are
for an increase of 2.0 percent.


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