This message is in MIME format. Since your mail reader does not understand this format, some or all of this message may not be legible. ------ =_NextPart_000_01BE0BEE.8754F480 BLS DAILY REPORT, FRIDAY, NOVEMBER 6, 1998 __The economy continued to show signs of slowing in October, producing 116,000 new payroll jobs, seasonally adjusted, according to data released a day earlier than expected after part of the jobs report was inadvertently posted on the BLS web site. The jobless rate remained at 4.6 percent. Employment growth in October was smaller than the upwardly revised 157,000 in September, with a sharp decline in factory jobs partially offsetting a gain in service employment. ... (Daniel J. Roy __The nation's jobless rate remained steady at 4.6 percent, despite lower-than-expected job growth, the Labor Department said in a report widely viewed by analysts as a further sign that U.S. economic growth is slowing. Stock prices rose on the news, amid continuing hopes that the cooling economy will prompt Fed policymakers to cut short-term interests rates later this month. ... (John M. Berry in Washington Post, page F1). __The United States economy is still expanding, but much more slowly than in the first half of the year. ... "The pattern is the same as for the past few months," said Tom Nardone, an economist at BLS. "Payroll growth is falling off, but not as dramatically as we feared." ... (Sylvia Nasar in New York Times, page C1). __Compared with the heady growth of just a few months ago, U.S. companies created jobs at a slower pace in October, and layoff announcements began to mount. ... (John Simons in Wall Street Journal, page A2). __BLS said it is investigating what appears to be the inadvertent early release of October employment data on the Internet, BLS Commissioner Katharine Abraham said yesterday. After discovering the supplemental tables of the employment situation report had been released, Abraham decided to release the entire report a day early. At a quickly called press briefing, Abraham said the data were posted on the Internet by mistake. She said it was not an intentional violation of internal security procedures. ... BLS discovered the information was on its Web page after being informed by Ray Stone, a partner at Stone & McCarthy Research Associates, a Princeton, N.J., based research firm, according to Stone's partner Ward McCarthy. "Ray noticed there was something new on the BLS web site, "McCarthy said. "He was very surprised to find part of the employment report. We alerted our customers to the numbers and then he called BLS. Abraham said the only similar incident she or BLS senior officials know of was the early release of producer price index information on the Internet 2 or 2-l/2 years ago. "No one in the U.S. had accessed that data before we discovered it," Abraham said. The employment numbers, however, were accessed, although Abraham could not say how many web browsers had seen them. BLS' web pages have on average 3 million hits a month, Abraham said. ... The release of economic data often has a strong affect on the performance of stock and bond markets. Stocks rose after the employment report's unscheduled release (Daniel J. Roy in Daily Labor Report, page AA-2). __BLS data released prematurely on the BLS web site was a goof that moved stock, says John M. Berry in The Washington Post (page F1). ... Berry says that "instead of rushing the closely guarded information to his clients, Ray Stone, the first person who noticed the premature release of BLS data, said he called BLS officials to alert them." ... Stone said he called the agency at 9:15 a.m. to report what he had discovered. The first two officials he sought were in meetings. Telling a secretary that he was calling about an "emergency," Stone finally reached statistician John Stinson, who took the bad news. Stone said then that he would sit on the information for another 5 minutes, and that Stinson could call him back if the data were not what the web site indicated they were. There was no call back, but within the BLS a scramble was on. ... __The premature release by the Labor Department of sensitive job figures caused a rally in the bond market, whipsawing traders who had bet on bond declines ahead of the Government's auction of $10 billion in 30-year Treasuries. They had hoped to distribute the new supply of bonds before the release of the job report that had been scheduled for today. The rally later retreated, and the yield on the 30-year bond finished at 5.34 percent, up from 5.32 percent. The Treasury would make no estimate of the impact on its borrowing costs, though a spokesman did observe that other factors could have intervened between 9:20 a.m. when rates responded almost instantaneously to the leak, and the 1 p.m. auction. ... (New York Times, page C9). __Investors were catapulted into confusion yesterday morning, when a web-surfing market analyst, Ray Stone, discovered that the BLS had inadvertently posted some of its most sensitive data. After giving the BLS 7 minutes advance notice, Stone shared the news with his clients via his own Internet site and Bloomberg Business News at 9:22 a.m. EST. Thirty-six minutes later, the red-faced government agency confirmed the accuracy of the data to financial wire services, and released the full report to the public at 1:30 p.m. Lots of money can be made and lost in financial markets is half an hour. The mistake was just the latest cautionary tale about the Internet's power to disperse information in the blink of an eye without any hope of calling it back. After Mr. Stone's phone call, BLS took the data off its web site. But it didn't matter. Now, with the explosive growth of the Internet, the precautions against inadvertent disclosure haven't always kept up. ... BLS Commissioner Katharine Abraham described the incident as "unacceptable" and said the agency would take steps to avoid a repeat. ... (Wall Street Journal, page B1). New claims filed with state agencies for unemployment insurance benefits decreased by 10,000 to a seasonally adjusted total of 312,000 for the week ending October 31, the Employment and Training Administration of the Department of Labor reports. ... (Daily Labor Report, page D-1). Business activity in the non-manufacturing sector continued to expand in October, but at a slower pace than in September, the National Association of Purchasing Management says. New orders grew at a slower rate in October than in September, and the backlog of orders decreased, signaling weakness. But employment grew at about the same rate as the previous month . The employment index edged up, marking the 16 straight months of employment growth. The industries with the highest rate of growth were legal services, agriculture, retail trade, real estate, and "other services". New export and new import orders fell. Prices paid by non-manufacturers for materials and services decreased at a slower rate in October (Daily Labor Report, page A-9). __U.S. workforce reductions reached a 33-month high or 91,531 job cuts in October, Challenger, Gray & Christmas Inc. report. October's extensive job cuts - which included layoffs, early retirement, and special considerations to leave the company - surpassed September's figures by 25 percent. After only 10 months, October's extensive cuts make 1998 the third largest job cut year of the decade, with a total of 522,981 job cuts. Employers blame job cuts on the economic crisis in Asia and South America, as well as on plummeting oil prices, according to the report. ... (Daily Labor Report, page A-10; Wall Street Journal, page A2). __Nearly 200,000 manufacturing jobs have disappeared since March, an important reason that consumers have begun to get nervous about the global economic outlook. Challenger, Gray & Christmas said the cuts could be attributed largely to mergers, cost pressures, and low oil prices. ... (New York Times, page C1). A national panel of scientists issued a stern warning yesterday about the hazards of teenage employment. A committee of the National Research Council and the Institute of Medicine said young people who work more than 20 hours a week, regardless of their economic background, are less likely to finish high school and more likely to use drugs and run into trouble with the police. The panel also warned that work can be dangerous. Young people are injured at work at twice the rate of adults, and 100,000 show up in hospital emergency rooms each year with job-related injuries. Today, eight of every 10 American teenagers hold down a job sometime during their school years. The current tight labor market has made them even more desirable to employers who can't get adults to fill minimum wage jobs in fast food restaurants, grocery stores, retail shops, and nursing homes. ... (Washington Post, page A3). The National Park Service isn't your average employer, and some of these aren't your average workplace hazards - snakebites, avalanches, white-water rapids, and hypothermia. One of the prevalent occupational illnesses -not found in the typical office environment - is lyme disease. Now the National Park Service has asked the Occupational Safety and Health Administration to help. Overall, the NPS rate of injury and illness at its 375 parks far exceeds the average in the federal government. ... (Washington Post, page F1). __Alan Greenspan, Fed chairman, says that investors and lenders appeared to be calming down after the fright thrown into them by global financial turmoil, suggesting that the central bank is less concerned than a few weeks ago that a credit squeeze could derail the economy. Economists said the Fed was still more likely to than not to trim interest rates again this month. ... (New York Times, page C1). __Fed Chairman Greenspan, speaking less than 2 weeks before the Fed's interest-rate policy committee is set to meet, said he is "already seeing significant signs of some reversals" in the peculiar bond market behavior that prompted the Fed to cut interest rates in September and October. ... (Wall Street Journal, page A2). Retailers across the nation reported a better-than-expected 4.8 percent sales rise in October, led by demand for clothes at specialty shops and name-brand goods at discount retailers. ... (New York Times, page C9; Washington Post, page F3). USA Today's feature "Economic Indicators" (page 4B) shows the estimates for productivity for the third quarter of 1998, due out November 10, are for an increase of 2.0 percent. ------ =_NextPart_000_01BE0BEE.8754F480 b3NvZnQgTWFpbC5Ob3RlADEIAQWAAwAOAAAAzgcLAAkACQAjAAIAAQAYAQEggAMADgAAAM4HCwAJ gAEAEQAAAEJMUyBEYWlseSBSZXBvcnQAkAUBDYAEAAIAAAACAAIAAQOQBgC4GQAAHAAAAEAAOQCA 2rki7gu+AR4AcAABAAAAEQAAAEJMUyBEYWlseSBSZXBvcnQAAAAAAgFxAAEAAAAWAAAAAb4L7iEK +ilgk3e0EdKIjgAgr5wDCAAAHgAxQAEAAAANAAAAUklDSEFSRFNPTl9EAAAAAAMAGkAAAAAAHgAw nNS+G/8ACgEPAhUCpAPkBesCgwBQEwNUAgBjaArAc2V0bjIGAAbDAoMyA8UCAHDccnESIAcTAoB9 CoAIzx8J2QKACoENsQtgbmcxODAzMwr7EvIB0CBCgkwF8ERBSUxZB/AARVBPUlQsIEYUUkkYwFkZ gE5PVoBFTUJFUiA2GYAwMTk5OAqFCoVfX1BUaGUgBZFuA3B5GiAccXQLgApQZCB0YG8gc2hvB+AA kGd5BjFvZh2gFMAD8BbgINELgCBPYx2AYgSQGYCTE5AEcHVjHtIxMRqwsjAgsCBuB9EKsHkDYGps AyBqH3BzGYAR8GEWcwIgB0BsHMBhZGp4dXN0CYAZgADQBaFkUx7SHYFkYQGQIBUwbD8iIR1RJGAk MBzAIiBybI8IkR1wEcADoGV4cAWQ/yMRIrABgCXBCrEFQB5hJfCXHEAhsiRxcBTRIHciMPsfASLA 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[PEN-L:954] BLS Daily Report
Richardson_D Mon, 9 Nov 1998 09:35:02 -0500boundary="---- =_NextPart_000_01BE0BEE.8754F480"