Brad writes:
>Hmmm. Liquidating U.S. Treasury bonds means that the price of Treasury
>bonds and other denominated assets relative to yen assets falls, which
>means that the yen rises, which means that U.S. demand for Japanese
>products falls.
>
>This means that (with the U.S. no longer serving as the importer of last
>resort) Japan falls deeper into recession.
>
>Am I missing something? What's the alternative theory by which raising your
>exchange rate expands your economy?

My impression is that the Japanese economy doesn't go into recessions every
time the Yen rises. The US has been pushing for a higher Yen for quite
awhile (and has been getting it), but Japan still has a trade surplus.

One thing is that Japan is highly dependent on imports of raw materials, so
that a high Yen makes them cheaper. 
This counteracts the effect of exports becoming more expensive in dollar
terms as the Yen rises.

Jim Devine [EMAIL PROTECTED] &
http://clawww.lmu.edu/Faculty/JDevine/JDevine.html



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