CIA Explains What Went Wrong

                        By JOHN DIAMOND Associated Press Writer

                        WASHINGTON (AP) -- In an extraordinary
                        admission of error, the CIA said Monday that
                        outdated maps, a lack of communication within
the
                        U.S. government and educated guesses that went
                        terribly wrong led to the NATO air attack on the

                        Chinese Embassy in Belgrade.

                        Grim-faced intelligence officials briefed
lawmakers
                        behind closed doors, then met with reporters to
                        explain how a B-2 stealth bomber came to drop a
                        load of satellite-guided bombs on a plainly
marked
                        embassy compound well-known in Belgrade to
                        diplomats and civilians alike.

                        The B-2s were all too accurate in hitting
targets.
                        The problem was that CIA operatives
misidentified
                        the target, and pre-strike checks by the
Pentagon
                        and other allied military commands failed to
catch
                        the error. In addition, neither the State
Department
                        nor other NATO allies had alerted target
planners
                        that the Chinese Embassy had moved in Belgrade
in
                        1996.

                        Defense Secretary William Cohen called the
                        bombing a ``tragic mistake'' and said, ``If
there's
                        culpability to be found, we will consider
appropriate
                        action.''

                        The incident came less than a year after the CIA

                        recommended an attack on a target in Sudan that
                        turned out to be a pharmaceutical plant and that

                        may or may not have been involved in chemical
                        weapons production. The Chinese Embassy
                        bombing has made the CIA a laughing stock.
                        Regulars on Don Imus' talk radio program were
                        joking that the CIA could have simply called a
taxi
                        cab company to locate its target.

                        In fact, target planning is far more complex
than
                        that.

                        Several weeks ago, CIA officials ``nominated''
the
                        Yugoslav Federal Directorate for Supply and
                        Procurement for destruction by NATO bombers,
                        pointing to the directorate's role in supplying
                        weapons to the Yugoslav Army and exporting
                        munitions.

                        The planning began with a street address -- a
correct
                        one, it turns out -- on Cherry Blossom Boulevard
in
                        Belgrade. The problem was finding that address
on
                        National Imagery and Mapping Agency maps.

                        Some guesswork was involved. The CIA had fixed
                        the locations of some buildings on the street,
but not
                        the directorate. Using a variety of undisclosed
                        sources, the CIA tried to extrapolate the
location of
                        the directorate based on known addresses nearby.

                        Those sources did not include an agent on the
                        ground in Belgrade actually looking at the
                        prospective target because no agent was
available.

                        From now on, an intelligence official said, it
will be
                        an ironclad requirement to have sources on the
                        ground checking targets visually when they lie
in
                        urban areas.

                        This was the initial and critical error. The
CIA's
                        extrapolation was off by a few blocks. The
actual
                        directorate is down the street, which changes
names
                        to the Boulevard of the Arts. NATO has not ruled

                        out striking the directorate -- now that it
knows
                        where it is.

                        Outdated maps turned this mistake into a
diplomatic
                        and political disaster. The CIA and Pentagon
have
                        developed what they call a ``no strike'' list --

                        churches, hospitals, schools and embassies that
                        NATO seeks to avoid.

                        But the U.S. intelligence ``City Plan of
Belgrade''
                        used in planning the strike dated to 1992. It
was
                        reviewed twice after that for accuracy, once in
1997
                        and again last year. On this map, the Chinese
                        Embassy, depicted as a red rectangle with a
                        symbolic flag, lies in its former location
across the
                        Danube River in Belgrade's old quarter.

                        The State Department, which maintained a mission

                        in Belgrade until the strikes began in March,
never
                        notified Pentagon strike planners that the
Chinese
                        Embassy had moved, the intelligence officials
said,
                        speaking on condition of anonymity.

                        A senior State Department official said
officials at
                        the mission knew the Chinese Embassy's new
                        location but did not consider it their
responsibility to
                        pass the information on to the Pentagon.

                        Cohen announced ``steps to prevent such a
mistake
                        from happening again,'' including a requirement
that
                        the State Department report embassy moves or
                        constructions overseas. The Pentagon and CIA
will
                        also be ordered to update maps and set up
                        procedures to make last-minute changes to ``no
                        strike'' lists as new information comes in.

                        Cohen said that in 4,036 combat sorties over
                        Yugoslavia, NATO knows of only a dozen instances

                        involving civilian casualties, and this is the
first in
                        which erroneous target-selection was the cause.

                        ``In combat, accidents will happen despite our
best
                        efforts to prevent them,'' Cohen said.

                        Sens. Richard Shelby, R-Ala., and Bob Kerrey,
                        D-Neb., the chairman and vice chairman,
                        respectively, of the Senate Intelligence
Committee,
                        said decades of intelligence budget cuts may
have
                        played a role.

                        ``While this was a horrible mistake, we cannot
avoid
                        the fact that we have overtasked and underfunded

                        our intelligence agencies for too long,'' Kerrey
said.

                        The intelligence officials said, however, that
they
                        were making no excuses based on finances.


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