I know I should be clearing up the garden, and others have warned me 
against watching too much CNN, but the astonishing news has just broken 
that there is a damaged US navy plane with 24 uninjured crew,  under 
Chinese custody on Hainan island!

Perhaps this is just a product of the new realism in Bush's foreign policy. 
Perhaps it is part of his strategy to make China the number one world 
enemy. But if so, it somehow doesn't have the impact of the Gulf of 
Tongking incident. Indeed judging from the studiously nonchalant report 
released by an amiable navy spokesman to CNN, even more nuanced than the 
main CNN story about the arrest of Milosevic, it looks more like a blunder 
than the start of world war three.

As I say, just released (interesting to check whether the time would be 
such as presumably to avoid all the Sunday morning US newspapers) it all 
sounds a slight mishap among friends. A US navy plane was over the South 
China Sea. It was intercepted by two Chinese fighter planes, one of which 
had a slight collision with it. The US plane felt obliged to put out a 
Mayday call, but was able (or required?) to land on Hainan Island.

When the spokesperson was asked if there is a hotline between Beijing and 
Washington to deal with such an incident he replied that both sides are 
trying to set this up. Rather quickly one would think.

He expressed studiedly routine assumptions that normal conventions would be 
respected between the two states, without a hint of hostility, fear, or 
aggression in his pleasant low-key voice.

But one does wonder how the cost of this presumably large US navy plane, 
compares with the cost of the Chinese embassy in Belgrade which was blown 
up for passing on Yugoslav signals during the Kosovo war.

And perhaps even more interesting, when the Chinese take every detail of 
this plane apart bit by bit, will they ask the assistance of, or share the 
information with, an ally?

Of course we do not know what is going on off screen. We do not know if 
there is a nuclear alert. But as of this morning, the Bush administration 
might just have failed to start World War Three.

The US may be the richest, dirtiest, most arrogant, state in the world, but 
it cannot always prevent itself looking foolish in front of world opinion.

Chris Burford

London

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