yes, but the contagion is more likely the more integrated the system.

On Wed, Sep 18, 2002 at 08:52:45AM -0700, Devine, James wrote:
> Michael Perelman writes: 
> > The local monopolies of banking -- especially in rural areas -- also
> > tended to make the risks of banking failure more local.  Sort 
> > of like an electricity grid.  When it is more local, failures are more 
> > common, but localized.  When a more national system goes down ....
> 
> I don't know if this is true or not. Back in the 1930s before the 1933 bank
> holiday, there was a massive "contagion effect" even though US banking was
> very localized: if any bank failed, it undermined faith in the entire
> system, encouraging withdrawal from all banks. 
> 
> Of course, what happens depends on macroeconomic conditions. In the 1930s,
> the macro-economy was in really bad shape, encouraging bank failures (which
> in turn made the macro-situation worse).
> 
> Jim

-- 
Michael Perelman
Economics Department
California State University
Chico, CA 95929

Tel. 530-898-5321
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