Business Week NOVEMBER 4, 2002

Edison: An "F" in Finance

For-profit Edison Schools needs to make a profit soon


The messianic CEO of Edison Schools Inc. (EDSN ), H. Christopher
Whittle, has long assumed that investors and educators would give him
plenty of time to prove that his for-profit company could revolutionize
American education. With good reason: Since founding Edison a decade
ago, Whittle has raised $509 million--without ever coming close to
turning a profit.

But time may finally be running out on his bold experiment. With
Edison's stock now trading around 50 cents, down from $20 in early
January, the equity market is closed. Edison's precarious financial
position is forcing it to borrow funds at exorbitant rates of 12% and
higher. And Edison's schools are under assault in some of its most
important districts, from Dallas to Philadelphia.

True, most observers believe the company has the wherewithal to make it
through the current school year. Despite heavy spending this summer to
open new schools, Edison still has $30 million in cash. "But this is
their last chance," says Trace Urdan, an analyst at ThinkEquity
Partners, a boutique investment bank in San Francisco. By next June,
Edison must pass its toughest exam yet--by proving that it can make
money while effectively running schools in such tough places as
Philadelphia. If it fails, Edison will likely either become a private
company or face bankruptcy.

The stakes go far beyond the 80,000 students attending the 150 schools
Edison now runs. "Edison is the bellwether for the entire for-profit
school-reform movement," says Peter J. Stokes, executive vice-president
at Eduventures Inc., a Boston market researcher.

Whittle's challenge: fixing the company before he loses all access to
funding. While revenues soared to $465 million for the fiscal year ended
June 30, up from just $66 million in 1998, Whittle's promise that size
equals profits hasn't come true. Last year, Edison's spending on
education and operating expenses still outpaced revenues by 10%. As a
result, Edison's operating losses--including charges--jumped 88%, to
$76.7 million.

In an effort to boost confidence, Whittle is pledging that "we will have
the strongest financial year in our history." Specifically, he says,
Edison will produce $20 million in EBITDA (earnings before interest,
taxes, and depreciation) in the fiscal year ending next June. Although
that would still mean a net loss, it would be a huge turnaround from
fiscal 2002 when Edison lost $6.3 million on an EBITDA basis, even after
excluding a charge of $46 million. To meet the target, Whittle says
Edison is scaling back its growth objectives. He's also curtailing the
pricey practice of giving each child a home computer, which accounts for
nearly half of its school-related capital spending. And he hopes to
raise $40 million to $50 million by refinancing some $80 million Edison
loaned its charter schools.

Problem is, such austerity could weaken the appeal of Edison's education
model and compound its already rocky relations with some of its biggest
customers. Although Edison has been reporting improving test scores,
contract disputes and other problems forced it to close 20 schools, with
7,400 students, last year. Dallas, where Edison runs seven schools, is
terminating its contract at the end of this year. And now all eyes are
on Philadelphia, where Edison assumed control of 20 schools in
August--its biggest contract to date. "The opening of these schools was
very chaotic," says Barbara Goodman, communications director for the
Philadelphia Federation of Teachers. But Paul Vallas, CEO of the School
District of Philadelphia, says it's "premature to pass judgment. Edison
is holding their own in the vast majority of their schools." Still,
Vallas has withheld $4 million due Edison until the problems are fixed.

Many observers believe Whittle will ultimately choose to take the
company private. "That would allow them to right their fiscal ship
outside the fishbowl you operate in as a public company," says Michael
Connelly, CEO of Mosaica Education Inc., a for-profit operator of 44
charter schools in six states. But if Edison loses the Philadelphia
contract, warns Stokes, bankruptcy could follow. If Edison does fail,
the schools will survive in one form or another. The biggest blow will
be to those who believe the private sector can play a key role in
reforming public schools.

--

Michael Perelman
Economics Department
California State University
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
Chico, CA 95929
530-898-5321
fax 530-898-5901

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