Germany: a powerhouse in crisis

Larry Elliott and John Hooper
Thursday March 6, 2003
The Guardian

Germany continues to pay a high economic price for reunification and it will
take "an entire generation" to solve the problems of the former communist
eastern states, the country's finance minister, Hans Eichel, says today.

In an interview with the Guardian, Mr Eichel says that Germany is a "very
competitive economy" which is at no risk of following Japan into long-term
decline. But he claims that 13 years after joining the ramshackle economy of the
German Democratic Republic with West Germany the legacy of de-industrialisation
and high unemployment remains.

Figures out today are likely to show unemployment in Germany rising towards 5
million. Mr Eichel says reunification "was in effect a programme for the
de-industrialisation of eastern Germany and it led to very high unemployment,
which it will take an entire generation to remedy".

Unemployment has added 1.5% of GDP to Germany's social security bill and led to
increased borrowing, he says.

With the European Central Bank likely to cut interest rates for the eurozone
today, Mr Eichel rejects the idea that Germany's problems would be eased if it
was able to set its own rates.

He also defends the EU's stability and growth pact, despite the pressure on the
German government to keep its budget deficit below the 3% of GDP set by
Brussels. He adds that if growth is lower than 1% this year, as many forecasters
expect, he will allow borrowing to rise above the ceiling.

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