[and when will he write TRAGEDY?]


[NYTimes]
June 24, 2003
Denial and Deception
By PAUL KRUGMAN


Politics is full of ironies. On the White House Web site, George W. Bush's
speech from Oct. 7, 2002 - in which he made the case for war with Iraq -
bears the headline "Denial and Deception." Indeed.

There is no longer any serious doubt that Bush administration officials
deceived us into war. The key question now is why so many influential
people are in denial, unwilling to admit the obvious.

About the deception: Leaks from professional intelligence analysts, who
are furious over the way their work was abused, have given us a far more
complete picture of how America went to war. Thanks to reporting by my
colleague Nicholas Kristof, other reports in The New York Times and The
Washington Post, and a magisterial article by John Judis and Spencer
Ackerman in The New Republic, we now know that top officials, including
Mr. Bush, sought to convey an impression about the Iraqi threat that was
not supported by actual intelligence reports.

In particular, there was never any evidence linking Saddam Hussein to Al
Qaeda; yet administration officials repeatedly suggested the existence of
a link. Supposed evidence of an active Iraqi nuclear program was
thoroughly debunked by the administration's own experts; yet
administration officials continued to cite that evidence and warn of
Iraq's nuclear threat.

And yet the political and media establishment is in denial, finding
excuses for the administration's efforts to mislead both Congress and the
public.

For example, some commentators have suggested that Mr. Bush should be let
off the hook as long as there is some interpretation of his prewar
statements that is technically true. Really? We're not talking about a
business dispute that hinges on the fine print of the contract; we're
talking about the most solemn decision a nation can make. If Mr. Bush's
speeches gave the nation a misleading impression about the case for war,
close textual analysis showing that he didn't literally say what he seemed
to be saying is no excuse. On the contrary, it suggests that he knew that
his case couldn't stand close scrutiny.

Consider, for example, what Mr. Bush said in his "denial and deception"
speech about the supposed Saddam-Osama link: that there were "high-level
contacts that go back a decade." In fact, intelligence agencies knew of
tentative contacts between Saddam and an infant Al Qaeda in the early
1990's, but found no good evidence of a continuing relationship. So Mr.
Bush made what sounded like an assertion of an ongoing relationship
between Iraq and Al Qaeda, but phrased it cagily - suggesting that he or
his speechwriter knew full well that his case was shaky.

Other commentators suggest that Mr. Bush may have sincerely believed,
despite the lack of evidence, that Saddam was working with Osama and
developing nuclear weapons. Actually, that's unlikely: why did he use such
evasive wording if he didn't know that he was improving on the truth? In
any case, however, somebody was at fault. If top administration officials
somehow failed to apprise Mr. Bush of intelligence reports refuting key
pieces of his case against Iraq, they weren't doing their jobs. And Mr.
Bush should be the first person to demand their resignations.

So why are so many people making excuses for Mr. Bush and his officials?

Part of the answer, of course, is raw partisanship. One important
difference between our current scandal and the Watergate affair is that
it's almost impossible now to imagine a Republican senator asking, "What
did the president know, and when did he know it?"

But even people who aren't partisan Republicans shy away from confronting
the administration's dishonest case for war, because they don't want to
face the implications.

After all, suppose that a politician - or a journalist - admits to himself
that Mr. Bush bamboozled the nation into war. Well, launching a war on
false pretenses is, to say the least, a breach of trust. So if you admit
to yourself that such a thing happened, you have a moral obligation to
demand accountability - and to do so in the face not only of a powerful,
ruthless political machine but in the face of a country not yet ready to
believe that its leaders have exploited 9/11 for political gain. It's a
scary prospect.

Yet if we can't find people willing to take the risk - to face the truth
and act on it - what will happen to our democracy?

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