Pension-Liability Shortfall Said to Rise
Total Could Exceed $80 Billion This Month, Federal Agency Estimates
By Albert B. Crenshaw
Washington Post Staff Writer
Friday, September 5, 2003; Page E03


Pension benefits promised but not funded by troubled U.S. corporations --
benefits that might ultimately have to be paid by the government's pension
insurer -- could total more than $80 billion by the end of this month, the
insurer's executive director told a House committee yesterday.

That would be up from $35 billion last year and reflects what the
executive director, Steven A. Kandarian, called "chronic underfunding" of
traditional pension plans operated by struggling companies. These weaker
companies are the ones most likely to fail or otherwise be unable to
continue operating their pension plans, in which case the government's
Pension Benefit Guaranty Corp. would step in and assume their obligations.

In the worst case, the PBGC might be overwhelmed, forcing U.S. taxpayers
to pay for a savings-and-loan-like bailout, some experts have said. The
pension insurer showed a deficit of $5.7 billion at the end of July. That
is up from $3.6 billion at the end of fiscal 2002.

That deficit, Kandarian noted, is the amount by which the PBGC's long-term
liabilities exceed its assets. There is no immediate danger that the
agency will not be able to pay the approximately $2.5 billion that it
gives annually to participants in plans that it has taken over. The PBGC
currently has more than $30 billion in liquid assets, he said.

Kandarian and U.S. Comptroller General David M. Walker both warned the
House Committee on Education and the Workforce that the funding rules for
traditional pensions -- in which employers promise to pay benefits spelled
out by a formula in the plan -- need reform to ensure that companies
devote adequate resources to them.

"If companies do not fund the pension promises they make, someone else
will have to pay -- either workers in the form of lower benefits, other
companies in the form of higher PBGC premiums, or the taxpayers in the
form of a PBGC bailout," Kandarian said.

Corporations that run traditional pensions, however, say that such fears
are overblown. They say much of the recent underfunding is the result of
the simultaneous plunge of the stock market and interest rates, which had
the effect of reducing the value of pension plan investments while causing
computed liabilities to rise. They predict that the situation will improve
as markets return to more normal conditions.

"Certainly, the PBGC's financial solvency is important and should be
examined very carefully," said James A. Klein, president of the American
Benefits Council, which represents large employers. "However, the current
deficit does not represent a serious long-term threat to the agency's
viability, and in fact there are numerous more critical threats to the
defined-benefit pension system."

Most urgent, he said, is the approaching expiration of a temporary
provision easing the rules for computing pension liabilities. Generally,
plans are required to use the interest rate on 30-year Treasury bonds,
which is now very low, and the lower the interest rate the higher the
liabilities. The relief provision, which allows a less stringent formula
to be used in calculating liabilities, is to expire at the end of this
year. If companies are required to revert to the earlier formula, many
would have to pour large amounts of cash into their plans, which might
encourage some to freeze or terminate their plans.

Companies are pressing to be allowed to use a higher, corporate-bond rate
instead.


====================================
To this day, no one has come up with a set of rules for
originality. There aren't any. [Les Paul]

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