China's Dark Days and Darker Nights
Industrial Growth Exceeds Supply of Electrical Power
By Peter S. Goodman
Washington Post Foreign Service
Monday, January 5, 2004; Page A01

HANGZHOU, China -- In a country gaining dominance in the production of
electronics, 9-year-old Sheng Minjie sat down one recent evening to do
his math homework. First, though, he had to solve a physics equation:
How many candles did he need to illuminate his work?

Like thousands of other households in this city on China's east coast,
Sheng's family was without electricity, his apartment dark and cold. The
city had cut the power to his neighborhood as part of a series of
rolling blackouts imposed as China struggles to cope with power
shortages afflicting much of the country. At one point last month, the
city's traffic lights were turned off for two days. A ban on lighted
advertising has created the peculiar spectacle of a Chinese metropolis
largely devoid of flashing neon.

China's relentless industrial development has outstripped its supply of
power. The government forecasts shortages of 10 to 15 percent in key
manufacturing areas, estimating that China needs about $108 billion
worth of new generating capacity to close the gap. Factories are now
cutting production, while hotels and restaurants dim lights and switch
off heat. Some worry that the scarcity could shackle enterprises that
have become critical employers at a time when millions of
government-supported jobs are being eliminated by the country's
transition from Communism to the free market.

"These power shortages are extremely serious," said Scott Roberts, an
analyst at Cambridge Energy Research Associates in Beijing. "In some
areas they have been crippling for economic growth."

full: http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/articles/A54689-2004Jan4.html

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