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http://www.latimes.com/news/opinion/commentary/la-oe-luft2feb02,1,370578.story?
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LA Times | 2 feb
Gal Luft

Sixty-seven years ago, oil-starved Japan embarked on an aggressive
expansionary
policy designed to secure its growing energy needs, which eventually led
the
nation into a world war. Today, another Asian power thirsts for oil:
China.
While the U.S. is absorbed in fighting the war on terror, the seeds of
what
could be the next world war are quietly germinating. With 1.3 billion
people
and an economy growing at a phenomenal 8% to 10% a year, China, already a
net
oil importer, is growing increasingly dependent on imported oil. Last
year, its
auto sales grew 70% and its oil imports were up 30% from the previous
year,
making it the world's No. 2 petroleum user after the U.S. By 2030, China
is
expected to have more cars than the U.S. and import as much oil as the
U.S.
does today.


===================

Right wing Sino-phobic pessimism struggling to create a self-fulfilling
prophecy:

"The Energy Dept. says that world growth in petroleum has averaged 1.5% a
year since 1995, despite China's growth." [latest issue of Business Week]


Dr. Gal Luft is founder and co-director of the Institute for the Analysis
of Global Security (IAGS). He is a former lieutenant colonel in the Israel
Defense Forces. In his military career, Luft commanded battalions in
southern Lebanon, the Golan Heights, and YESH"A (Judea, Samaria and Gaza)
and worked with the Palestinian Authority since its inauguration in 1994.
He is an associate fellow at the Washington Institute for Near East Policy
and is the author of The Palestinian Security Forces: Between Police and
Army (Washington DC, 1998), as well as several articles on
Israeli-Palestinian security issues published in Foreign Affairs,
Commentary Magazine, Middle East Quarterly, and Middle East Review of
International Affairs. Luft is a graduate of Bar Ilan University and holds
a doctorate in Strategic Studies from the Paul H. Nitze School of Advanced
International Studies (SAIS), Johns Hopkins University.
http://www.acpr.org.il/people/gluft.html

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