*****   A Rebuttal to Senator Kerry's Statement on Venezuela
Monday, Mar 22, 2004
By: Gregory Wilpert - Venezuelanalysis.com

Senator Kerry's press statement was issued on March 19, 2004.

Italic text is Senator Kerry's statement. Plain text is Gregory
Wilpert's rebuttal.

_With the future of the democratic process at a critical juncture in
Venezuela, we should work to bring all possible international
pressure to bear on President Chavez to allow the referendum to
proceed._

It is not up to President Chavez whether there is a referendum.
Venezuela's constitution clearly establishes rules that must be
followed for a referendum to be called. The president has nothing to
do with this procedure. If Kerry has any evidence that Chavez is
preventing the referendum process from proceeding, then he should
spell out what it is that he has done.

_The [Bush] Administration should demonstrate its true commitment to
democracy in Latin America by showing determined leadership now,
while a peaceful resolution can still be achieved._

U.S. interference in Venezuela's referendum process will distort and
damage Venezuela's democracy more than help it. If there is outside
interference, it is more likely that the results of the process will
not be recognized as legitimate  by one of the sides in the conflict
and this would probably lead to violence, not to "a peaceful
resolution."

_Throughout his time in office, President Chavez has repeatedly
undermined democratic institutions by using extra-legal means,
including politically motivated incarcerations, to consolidate power._

How does Kerry know that the incarcerations of some protestors were
politically motivated? As the cases stand right now, it has not been
clearly established that any of the arrests that have occurred during
the recent spate of violent protests involved people who were
innocent of all charges. As the cases proceed and come to trial,
there will be plenty of opportunities to find out if this was the
case. To prejudge the arrests as Sen. Kerry does, does not help.

_In fact, his close relationship with Fidel Castro has raised serious
questions about his commitment to leading a truly democratic
government._

If relationships with undemocratic rulers are enough to question a
leader's commitment to democracy, then the commitment to democracy of
just about every president in U.S. history must be questioned.

_Moreover, President Chavez's policies have been detrimental to our
interests and those of his neighbors._

Exactly what "our interests" is is of course a much disputed issue.
If it includes Venezuela's opposition to the WTO and the FTAA, then,
indeed, President Chavez' interests have been detrimental to U.S.
interests. However, many in the U.S. and in Latin America would argue
that these institutions are not in the U.S. interest, but only in the
interest of transnational corporations, such as the one that Senator
Kerry's wife is heiress to (Heinz Ketchup). Besides, governments are
not there to pursue U.S. interests anyway, no matter where they are;
only national and human interests.

_He has compromised efforts to eradicate drug cultivation by allowing
Venezuela to become a haven for narco-terrorists, and sowed
instability in the region by supporting anti-government insurgents in
Colombia._

Sen. Kerry stands in direct contradiction with U.S. government
testimony that says that the Venezuelan government has been very
cooperative with US drug enforcement agencies. More drugs have been
intercepted by the Chavez government than any previous government.
While this could reflect in increase in drug trafficking in
Venezuela, it proves that Venezuela's government has far from
"compromised efforts."[1]

Even the head of the U.S. Southern Command, Gen. James Hill, who is
directly involved in plan Colombia and the U.S. anti-drug trafficking
effort, has denied that there is any evidence of connections between
the Venezuelan government and "anti-government insurgents" in
Colombia.[2] If Senator Kerry has any evidence of such connections,
he should provide them to the U.S. military so that they might be
properly informed.

_The referendum has given the people of Venezuela the opportunity to
express their views on his presidency through constitutionally
legitimate means._

Perhaps it would have been good to mention at this point that the
recall referendum was proposed by President Chavez and his party when
the country's constitutional assembly wrote the new constitution.
This fact directly contradicts Sen. Kerry's questioning of President
Chavez' democratic credentials.

_The international community cannot allow President Chavez to subvert
this process, as he has attempted to do thus far._

Without mentioning concrete examples of President Chavez' supposed
efforts to "subvert" the referendum process, Sen. Kerry's statement
is pure innuendo that intends to slander a head of state.

_He must be pressured to comply with the agreements he made with the
OAS and the Carter Center to allow the referendum to proceed, respect
the exercise of free expression, and release political prisoners._

First, the agreement Sen. Kerry refers to here was not made with the
OAS and the Carter Center, but with the opposition. The OAS and
Carter Center acted as facilitators for this agreement. Second, the
agreement does not mention the recall referendum at all. Rather, it
calls on both sides to reject violence and to support the
constitution. While there has been some debate in Venezuela as to who
started the violent protests, there is much evidence that members of
the opposition sought out a violent confrontation with state security
forces. As for respecting the right to freedom of expression, there
is complete and total freedom of expression in Venezuela, more than
at any point in Venezuela's history. Finally, with regard to
political prisoners, this is a term that Venezuela's opposition uses
for them, but one which internationally recognized human rights
organizations have yet to adopt. As such, Senator Kerry is placing
himself as a solid supporter of Venezuela's opposition, which does
not bode well for future relations between the government of
Venezuela and a possible President Kerry.

_Too often in the past, this Administration has sent mixed signals by
supporting undemocratic processes in our own hemisphere -- including
in Venezuela, where they acquiesced to a failed coup attempt against
President Chavez._

Actually, the Bush administration's signals with respect to
undemocratic processes has not been mixed at all: as long as the
undemocratic processes favor the Bush administration's policy
interests, it will support them. It is Senator Kerry who is sending
mixed signals by issuing a statement like this, one which does not
give Venezuela's referendum process a chance to play itself out,
which makes unsubstantiated claims about the Chavez government, and
which encourages a recall referendum even when it is not yet clearly
established that the requisite number of Venezuelan citizens want one.

_Having just allowed the democratically elected leader to be cast
aside in Haiti, they should make a strong statement now by leading
the effort to preserve the fragile democracy in Venezuela._

Allowing a "democratically elected leader to be cast aside" in
Venezuela via a possibly fraudulent recall referendum process would
be little different from what happened in Haiti. It would destroy
what has actually become a more vigorous democracy in Venezuela than
ever. More people are involved in Venezuela's political institutions
now than before, from land reform committees, to local participatory
planning councils, to public accountability efforts ("contraloria
social"). This week thousands of candidates are being nominated for
August regional elections of governors, mayors, state legislators,
and city council persons. There have been absolutely no limitations
on anyone's ability to participate.

The only reason Venezuela's democracy is in danger is because
opposition forces have never accepted President Chavez as the
legitimately elected president and have tried to undermine his
presidency via a coup attempt and a politically motivated shut-down
of the country's all-important oil industry - an act that would have
been considered completely illegal in any country in the world (and
for which no one in Venezuela has been imprisoned). It is due to
these acts of the opposition that President Chavez and his supporters
are so suspicious of the signatures that were recently collected for
the recall referendum. The best way to ensure that Venezuelan
democracy remains strong is by making sure that all sides agree that
the referendum is legitimate. This is the main reason why the process
has been taking so long.

By issuing this statement, Senator Kerry is clearly taking sides in
Venezuela's conflict and is supporting the opposition. As such, he is
placing himself to the right of President Bush, who has so far only
supported Venezuela's opposition more or less covertly.

[1] The U.S. Embassy in Venezuela says the following about the
Venezuelan government's efforts: "Against this upsurge in activity of
Colombian narcotrafficking organizations operating in Venezuela, the
Government of Venezuela (GOV) has attempted to pass expansive new
legislation, refine the focus of its small force of criminal
investigators and public prosecutors, and worked with the USG toward
the development of improved intelligence, investigative,
interdiction, and judicial capabilities. GOV drug enforcement
officials are dedicated, professional, and sincere in their efforts
to combat narcotrafficking and drug abuse in Venezuela." The report
also states that, "USG narcotics control efforts and programs
underwent significant expansion in Venezuela in 2001."
(http://embajadausa.org.ve/wwwh1695.html)

[2] "U.S. General Sites Progress in Colombia", The Miami Herald,
October 9, 2003, Page 16A

Original source / relevant link:
John Kerry's website

<http://www.venezuelanalysis.com/print.php?artno=1136> *****

*****    Kerry Statement on Venezuela
March  19,  2004

With the future of the democratic process at a critical juncture in
Venezuela, we should work to bring all possible international
pressure to bear on President Chavez to allow the referendum to
proceed. The Administration should demonstrate its true commitment to
democracy in Latin America by showing determined leadership now,
while a peaceful resolution can still be achieved.

Throughout his time in office, President Chavez has repeatedly
undermined democratic institutions by using extra-legal means,
including politically motivated incarcerations, to consolidate power.
In fact, his close relationship with Fidel Castro has raised serious
questions about his commitment to leading a truly democratic
government.

Moreover, President Chavez's policies have been detrimental to our
interests and those of his neighbors.  He has compromised efforts to
eradicate drug cultivation by allowing Venezuela to become a haven
for narco-terrorists, and sowed instability in the region by
supporting anti-government insurgents in Colombia.

The referendum has given the people of Venezuela the opportunity to
express their views on his presidency through constitutionally
legitimate means.  The international community cannot allow President
Chavez to subvert this process, as he has attempted to do thus far.
He must be pressured to comply with the agreements he made with the
OAS and the Carter Center to allow the referendum to proceed, respect
the exercise of free expression, and release political prisoners.

Too often in the past, this Administration has sent mixed signals by
supporting undemocratic processes in our own hemisphere -- including
in Venezuela, where they acquiesced to a failed coup attempt against
President Chavez.  Having just allowed the democratically elected
leader to be cast aside in Haiti, they should make a strong statement
now by leading the effort to preserve the fragile democracy in
Venezuela.


<http://www.johnkerry.com/pressroom/releases/pr_2004_0319d.html> **** -- Yoshie

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