URL: http://www.nytimes.com/2004/04/09/opinion/09WRIG.html

New York Times
April 9, 2004

One Hearing, Two Worlds

   By ROBERT WRIGHT

<snip>

   Even a quite vigilant administration would have needed some luck to
   catch wind of Al Qaeda's plans. Moreover, President Bush was hardly
   alone in the central confusion that kept him from being quite
   vigilant: the idea that "rogue states" are a bigger threat than
   terrorism per se, and indeed that terrorists can't do much damage
   without a state's help.

   More scandalous, as some have noted, is that the administration didn't
   change this view after 9/11, when terrorists based in places like
   Germany killed 3,000 people using weapons (in this case airliners)
   acquired in America. Hence the war in Iraq.

   The polar opposite of a preoccupation with state support of terrorism
   is the view that, in the modern world, intense hatred is
   self-organizing and self-empowering. Information technologies make it
   easy for hateful people to coalesce and execute attacks and those same
   technologies can also help spread the hatred. That's why opponents of
   the Iraq war so feared its effect on Muslim sentiment.

   If Ms. Rice didn't appreciate that fear before the war, she should
   now. The current insurgency seems to have spread from city to city in
   part by TV-abetted contagion. And insurgents are handing out DVD's
   with deftly edited videos featuring carnage caused by the war.

   But Ms. Rice is unfazed. Yesterday she said the decision to invade
   Iraq was one of several key choices President Bush made "the only
   choices that can ensure the safety of our nation for decades to come."
   Meanwhile, down at the bottom of the screen: "IRAQIS SAY AIRSTRIKE
   KILLED DOZENS GATHERED FOR PRAYERS." Do headlines like that make us
   safer?

   And as Ms. Rice lauded the president for putting states that help or
   tolerate terrorists "on notice" and recognizing that the war on
   terrorism "cannot be fought on the defensive," the crawl read:
   "DEFENSE SECY DONALD RUMSFELD WARNS OF POSSIBLE VIOLENCE AGAINST
   PILGRIMS IN IRAQI HOLY CITIES, PARTICULARLY NAJAF, IN DAYS AHEAD."

   Yesterday even Bob Kerrey, a committee member who stoutly favored the
   war in Iraq, said that it is now helping terrorist recruitment through
   televised images of "largely a Christian army in a Muslim nation." He
   didn't pose the observation as a question, and Ms. Rice offered no
   comment.

   There is one rationale for the Iraq war that might appeal even to
   those who see raw hatred as the root problem: a prosperous democracy
   would serve as a model, creating a Muslim world marked by less
   frustration and resentment. Yesterday Ms. Rice cited this rationale,
   criticizing a pre-Bush American policy that "looks the other way on
   the freedom deficit in the Middle East."

   Good point. But what of our current cozying up to an Uzbek regime that
   represses Muslim dissidents? This is a natural consequence of a
   state-based approach to fighting terrorism of viewing the world as a
   realpolitik chessboard across which we project military force so that
   all governments will either like us or fear us (regardless of how the
   masses feel).

<end excerpt>

Full at: http://www.nytimes.com/2004/04/09/opinion/09WRIG.html

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