Michael Perelman wrote:

A week or so ago, Ian Masters interviewed Fadel Gheit, Vice
President for Oil and Gas
Research with Oppenheimer Inc.  He was explaining how many $$ each
international
flash point added to the price of oil.  Several dollars each for
Nigeria, Venezuela,
Saudi Arabia & Iraq.  I think that it was on the order of $12 or so.

True, up to a point, but remember, the analysis often follows the price. That's one of the things that civilians often don't get about speculative markets.

Doug

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