August 15, 2004

U.S. can redeem itself after Venezuelans vote

By Elliott Young
History News Service



 http://www.registerguard.com/news/2004/08/15/f1.ed.col.venezuela.0815.html




Venezuela will face the most important election in its history today. For
the first time, Venezuelans will vote on whether to recall their president.

The United States had better respond more responsibly than it did two years
ago.

In April 2002, the United States stunned the world by immediately
recognizing an illegal government installed after a military coup ousted the
constitutionally elected president, Hugo Chavez.

This time, the United States has the opportunity to support democracy and
allow the Venezuelan people to decide the fate of their country at the
ballot box.

 With heavy scrutiny from the Organization of American States, the Carter
Center, the European Union and thousands of international electoral
observers, there should be no question of the legitimacy of this referendum.

Therefore, there will be no grounds for the United States to reject its
outcome.

Both U.S. presidential candidates have made threatening remarks about
Chavez's supposedly authoritarian and undemocratic rule. John Kerry went so
far as to say that Chavez's close relationship with Cuba's Fidel Castro
``raised serious questions about his commitment to leading a truly
democratic country.''

The opposition-controlled media in Venezuela feed this sort of anachronistic
anti-communism with one-sided coverage. Yet the more relevant historical
analogy for Chavez's Venezuela would be Juan Peron's Argentina, a legacy
that Chavez himself frequently invokes.

In the middle of the 20th century, Latin American populists cultivated
highly personable styles of leadership while they nationalized key
industries, stressed independence from the United States and ultimately
strengthened capitalism in their countries that benefited labor unions and
workers.

Chavez's charismatic hold on the vast majority of poor Venezuelans and his
anti-Yankee rhetoric fit the populist profile.

Inheriting a state-owned oil industry at a time of record high oil prices
has enabled Chavez to pursue his ambitious social program of distributing
resources to the poor without having to expropriate private industry.

As long as oil prices remain high, Chavez may be able to have his cake and
eat it, too.

So why are members of the Venezuelan elite and significant sectors of the
middle classes apoplectic at the thought of Chavez finishing out his term in
office?

Anti-Chavistas point to corruption, crime and economic crisis to justify
their opposition, but crime and corruption are hardly new to Venezuela. And
a good part of Venezuela's economic decline, which has been turned around in
the last year, can be attributed to the three-month-long strike led by
oppositionists. These are the same people who supported the April 2002 coup
and who publicly declared their desire to topple the government by crippling
the economy.

The vehement opposition to Chavez by the Venezuelan elites is cultural as
well as economic. Put simply, they are embarrassed by their president. He's
a ``clown,'' he acts like a ``monkey,'' they complain, pointing to his
impromptu singing and folksy digressions on his six-hour weekly call-in
television program, ``Al Presidente.''

Labeling Chavez a monkey plays the race card, hinting that Chavez (who is
part Indian and part black) is distinct from the lily-white Venezuelan
elites. Historian Samuel Moncada, chair of the history department at the
Universidad Central de Venezuela, calls this the ``aesthetic opposition.''
As Moncada put it, ``The Venezuelan elites will simply not forgive Chavez
for breaking the cultural codes that distinguish them from the rest of
Venezuela,'' the darker-skinned 80 percent of the people who live in
poverty.

Like Peron's descamisados (shirtless ones), Chavez's supporters are mostly
poor and landless, the wretched of the earth. The passionate identification
of the poor with Chavez cannot be chalked up solely to rhetoric or populism;
he has produced results. Sixty thousand peasant families have received more
than 5.5 million acres of land, thousands of schools, health clinics and
low-income housing have been built, an ambitious literacy program has
graduated more than 1 million adults and higher education is being
democratized.

Venezuela is polarized today, as it has always been. On one side are the
rich who drive in caravans of SUVs with designer sunglasses, honking their
horns to get rid of Chavez. On the other side is a heterogeneous crowd of
loud and rambunctious Venezuelans, most too poor to afford cars, who seem
willing to lay down their very lives for their comandante. Most Chavez
supporters carry in their pockets a miniature edition of the new
constitution, a symbol they frequently brandish as if it were a weapon.

The most reliable polls predict that Chavez will win in the referendum, yet
the opposition has already begun to say that it will claim fraud if Chavez
emerges victorious.

The United States, which has a sorry history of supporting military coups
and undemocratic regimes in, for example, Guatemala (1954), Chile (1973) and
Venezuela (2002), must seize the opportunity to support democracy in
Venezuela.

When Venezuelans return to the polls today, the United States should
recognize the legitimacy of the results, whichever side wins.

Since 1998, the Venezuelan people have voted twice for Hugo Chavez, and they
will probably do it again. It is a strange irony that the very same people
in Washington who lauded the military coup against President Chavez in 2002
today accuse him of being undemo- cratic.

At stake in this referendum is not only the future of Chavez but the
integrity of American foreign policy and its increasingly hollow calls for
democracy around the globe.




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