Here is the Reuters Cuban oil article.

Cuba says may have 20 bln barrels of oil offshore
Reuters - Friday, October 17 
By Jeff Franks


HAVANA, Oct 16 - Cuban oil officials said on Thursday that Cuba may have more 
than 20 billion barrels of recoverable oil in its offshore fields, more than 
twice the maximum estimate of the U.S. Geological Survey.
Such a large oil find would likely make Cuba an oil exporter and bring 
prosperity to the communist-run island that now imports half its energy needs. 
Officials said they hoped to drill the first production wells next year.
The estimate, unveiled at a Cubapetroleo, or Cupet, news briefing, is sharply 
higher than the maximum of 9 billion barrels the U.S. Geological Survey has 
said may lie beneath Cuban waters.
Cupet exploration manager Rafael Tenreyro Perez said Cuba's estimate was higher 
because the Cubans had better information about their offshore geology.
"We have more data. I'm almost certain that if they (U.S. Geological Survey) 
ask for all the data we have, (their estimate) is going to grow considerably."
The U.S. agency has also said Cuba could have as much as 21 trillion cubic feet 
of gas, but Tenreyro said Cupet did not have an estimate for offshore gas 
reserves because they were too difficult to figure out.
Cuba's oil estimates are based mostly on comparisons to how much oil is being 
produced from similar geological structures off the coasts of Mexico and the 
United States, Tenreyro said.
Cuba has undersea geology "very similar" to that in Mexico's giant Cantarell 
oil field in the Bay of Campeche, he said.
Tenreyro said he expected the first production well to be drilled in mid-2009 
and that several more wells could be started before next year is through.
A consortium of companies led by Spanish firm Repsol <REP.MC> did earlier test 
wells and is expected to drill the first production well, which had been 
postponed from this year because of the difficulty of getting a drilling rig, 
Tenreyro said.
PRODUCTION-SHARING
High oil prices have prompted more drilling activity worldwide and made rigs 
very expensive and hard to find, he said.
Even if drilling begins next year as planned, Tenreyro said it would be two to 
three years before oil actually began to flow into the market.
Cuba has signed production-sharing contracts with oil companies from around the 
world to drill its offshore fields.
There are no U.S. companies involved because of the U.S. trade embargo imposed 
on Cuba since 1962 that prevents them from doing business with the island.
Brazil's Petrobras <PETR4.SA>, which has years of deepwater-drilling 
experience, has been negotiating with Cuba for rights to exploit one of its 
offshore blocks, but Tenreyro said a deal had not been struck.
"We hope to have good news soon," he said.
Tenreyro said Cuba was currently producing about 60,000 barrels of oil and 
20,000 barrels equivalent of natural gas daily from onshore wells scattered 
mostly along its northern coast.
He said that production covered almost 50 percent of Cuba's daily energy needs. 
The island imports about 90,000 barrels a day from oil-rich socialist ally 
Venezuela in exchange for the services of thousands of Cuban doctors.
Cuba is stepping up the pace of onshore drilling and is conducting a pilot 
project to increase secondary recovery from the aging Varadero field that has 
been Cuba's primary field since the 1970s, he said. Secondary recovery involves 
pumping gas into old wells to force out what is left of the oil.

Roger Even Bove, PhD
Department of Economics & Finance (retired)
West Chester University
West Chester PA 19383-2220
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