It would be odd, if logically possible, for over-confidence to be separately
caused in distinct ways by different forms of society and/or economic
systems.

I happen to be noodling now with that issue in re:  cost-benefit analysis.
My intuition is that over-confidence is ubiquitous in both the public and
private sectors because it is a rational sort of 'irrationality.'



On Thu, Oct 23, 2008 at 2:17 PM, Jim Devine <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:

> Max Sawicky wrote:
> > Methinks optimism bias is not unique to capitalism.  Just ask Don
> Quixote.
>
> this is another example of the logical slip I complained about
> yesterday. I said that capitalism encourages over-confidence and you
> respond with an over-interpretation, i.e., assuming that I said that
> capitalism was the _only_ source of over-confidence.
>
> obviously, other types of society besides capitalism involved
> situations where over-confidence is needed as a psychological survival
> mechanism. But it's capitalism which tends to make those situations
> the rule. (Luckily capitalism hasn't realized that tendency
> completely; as noted, there are pre-existing institutions of other
> sorts.)
>
> also, didn't Cervantes see Don Q as crazy? a holdover of feudalism in
> the beginnings of capitalism?
> --
> Jim Devine /  "Nobody told me there'd be days like these / Strange
> days indeed -- most peculiar, mama." -- JL.
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