Patrick disses carbon trading citing the European trading system.  This system 
has repeatedly collapsed because the emissions have not been set low enough and 
the property rights in the carbon to be traded have been distributed to the 
polluters.  Is the case against carbon trading as strong if instead the cap was 
set at the low and declining level agreed by science as necessary to deal with 
global warming and the property rights were vested in the state (proceeds from 
auctions go to the state) or distributed equally among individuals (cap and 
share)?

To answer my own question:  Both of my superior options above are quasi-market 
mechanisms.  The problem is the basically neoclassical assumption that changes 
in the marginal cost of energy will result in marginal adjustments in 
consumption.  To get a sufficient adjustment in consumption the cap and trade 
plans assume you just need to set a sufficiently high price on carbon.  The rub 
is that drastically reducing carbon emissions cannot be accomplished by 
adjusting consumption.  They can only be achieved by the construction of new 
infrastructure in energy, transportation, housing and probably agriculture.  
The construction of basic infrastructure has historically never been left to 
the market as the up front costs are too high and the benefits not sufficiently 
excludable.

That said, is there possibly still a role for strict capping in setting targets 
for reduction year on year, and for trading in raising the funds for the 
massive infrastructural investment which must be made by the state 
(collectively)?

Terry
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