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June 22, 2009
Op-Ed Contributor
Fictions on the Ground
By TONY JUDT

I am old enough to remember when Israeli kibbutzim looked like
settlements (“a small village or collection of houses” or “the act of
peopling or colonizing a new country,” Oxford English Dictionary).

In the early 1960s, I spent time on Kibbutz Hakuk, a small community
founded by the Palmah unit of the Haganah, the pre-state Jewish
militia. Begun in 1945, Hakuk was just 18 years old when I first saw
it, and was still raw at the edges. The few dozen families living
there had built themselves a dining hall, farm sheds, homes and a
“baby house” where the children were cared for during the workday. But
where the residential buildings ended there were nothing but
rock-covered hillsides and half-cleared fields.

The community’s members still dressed in blue work shirts, khaki
shorts and triangular hats, consciously cultivating a pioneering image
and ethos already at odds with the hectic urban atmosphere of Tel
Aviv. Ours, they seemed to say to bright-eyed visitors and volunteers,
is the real Israel; come and help us clear the boulders and grow
bananas — and tell your friends in Europe and America to do likewise.

Hakuk is still there. But today it relies on a plastics factory and
the tourists who flock to the nearby Sea of Galilee. The original
farm, built around a fort, has been turned into a tourist attraction.
To speak of this kibbutz as a settlement would be bizarre.

However, Israel needs “settlements.” They are intrinsic to the image
it has long sought to convey to overseas admirers and fund-raisers: a
struggling little country securing its rightful place in a hostile
environment by the hard moral work of land clearance, irrigation,
agrarian self-sufficiency, industrious productivity, legitimate
self-defense and the building of Jewish communities. But this
neo-collectivist frontier narrative rings false in modern, high-tech
Israel. And so the settler myth has been transposed somewhere else —
to the Palestinian lands seized in war in 1967 and occupied illegally
ever since.

It is thus not by chance that the international press is encouraged to
speak and write of Jewish “settlers” and “settlements” in the West
Bank. But this image is profoundly misleading. The largest of these
controversial communities in geographic terms is Maale Adumim. It has
a population in excess of 35,000, demographically comparable to
Montclair, N.J., or Winchester, England. What is most striking,
however, about Maale Adumim is its territorial extent. This
“settlement” comprises more than 30 square miles — making it one and a
half times the size of Manhattan and nearly half as big as the borough
and city of Manchester, England. Some “settlement.”

There are about 120 official Israeli settlements in the occupied
territories of the West Bank. In addition, there are “unofficial”
settlements whose number is estimated variously from 80 to 100. Under
international law, there is no difference between these two
categories; both are contraventions of Article 47 of the Fourth Geneva
Convention, which explicitly prohibits the annexation of land
consequent to the use of force, a principle re-stated in Article 2(4)
of the United Nations Charter.

Thus the distinction so often made in Israeli pronouncements between
“authorized” and “unauthorized” settlements is specious — all are
illegal, whether or not they have been officially approved and whether
or not their expansion has been “frozen” or continues apace. (It is a
matter of note that Israel’s new foreign minister, Avigdor Lieberman,
belongs to the West Bank settlement of Nokdim, established in 1982 and
illegally expanded since.)

The blatant cynicism of the present Israeli government should not
blind us to the responsibility of its more respectable-looking
predecessors. The settler population has grown consistently at a rate
of 5 percent annually over the past two decades, three times the rate
of increase of the Israeli population as a whole. Together with the
Jewish population of East Jerusalem (itself illegally annexed to
Israel), the settlers today number more than half a million people:
just over 10 percent of the Jewish population of so-called Greater
Israel. This is one reason why settlers count for so much in Israeli
elections, where proportional representation gives undue political
leverage to even the smallest constituency.

But the settlers are no mere marginal interest group. To appreciate
their significance, spread as they are over a dispersed archipelago of
urban installations protected from Arab intrusion by 600 checkpoints
and barriers, consider the following: taken together, East Jerusalem,
the West Bank and the Golan Heights constitute a homogenous
demographic bloc nearly the size of the District of Columbia. It
exceeds the population of Tel Aviv itself by almost one third. Some
“settlement.”

If Israel is drunk on settlements, the United States has long been its
enabler. Were Israel not the leading beneficiary of American foreign
aid — averaging $2.8 billion a year from 2003 to 2007, and scheduled
to reach $3.1 billion by 2013 — houses in West Bank settlements would
not be so cheap: often less than half the price of equivalent homes in
Israel proper.

Many of the people who move to these houses don’t even think of
themselves as settlers. Newly arrived from Russia and elsewhere, they
simply take up the offer of subsidized accommodation, move into the
occupied areas and become — like peasants in southern Italy freshly
supplied with roads and electricity — the grateful clients of their
political patrons. Like American settlers heading west, Israeli
colonists in the West Bank are the beneficiaries of their very own
Homestead Act, and they will be equally difficult to uproot.

Despite all the diplomatic talk of disbanding the settlements as a
condition for peace, no one seriously believes that these communities
— with their half a million residents, their urban installations,
their privileged access to fertile land and water — will ever be
removed. The Israeli authorities, whether left, right or center, have
no intention of removing them, and neither Palestinians nor informed
Americans harbor illusions on this score.

To be sure, it suits almost everyone to pretend otherwise — to point
to the 2003 “road map” and speak of a final accord based on the 1967
frontiers. But such feigned obliviousness is the small change of
political hypocrisy, the lubricant of diplomatic exchange that
facilitates communication and compromise.

There are occasions, however, when political hypocrisy is its own
nemesis, and this is one of them. Because the settlements will never
go, and yet almost everyone likes to pretend otherwise, we have
resolutely ignored the implications of what Israelis have long been
proud to call “the facts on the ground.”

Benjamin Netanyahu, Israel’s prime minister, knows this better than
most. On June 14 he gave a much-anticipated speech in which he
artfully blew smoke in the eyes of his American interlocutors. While
offering to acknowledge the hypothetical existence of an eventual
Palestinian state — on the explicit understanding that it exercise no
control over its airspace and have no means of defending itself
against aggression — he reiterated the only Israeli position that
really matters: we won’t build illegal settlements but we reserve the
right to expand “legal” ones according to their natural rate of
growth. (It is not by chance that he chose to deliver this speech at
Bar-Ilan University, the heartland of rabbinical intransigence where
Yigal Amir learned to hate Prime Minister Yitzhak Rabin before heading
off to assassinate him in 1995.)

THE reassurances Mr. Netanyahu offered the settlers and their
political constituency were as well received as ever, despite being
couched in honeyed clichés directed at nervous American listeners. And
the American news media, predictably, took the bait — uniformly
emphasizing Mr. Netanyahu’s “support” for a Palestinian state and
playing down everything else.

However, the real question now is whether President Obama will respond
in a similar vein. He surely wants to. Nothing could better please the
American president and his advisors than to be able to assert that, in
the wake of his Cairo speech, even Mr. Netanyahu had shifted ground
and was open to compromise. Thus Washington avoids a confrontation,
for now, with its closest ally. But the uncomfortable reality is that
the prime minister restated the unvarnished truth: His government has
no intention of recognizing international law or opinion with respect
to Israel’s land-grab in “Judea and Samaria.”

Thus President Obama faces a choice. He can play along with the
Israelis, pretending to believe their promises of good intentions and
the significance of the distinctions they offer him. Such a pretense
would buy him time and favor with Congress. But the Israelis would be
playing him for a fool, and he would be seen as one in the Mideast and
beyond.

Alternatively, the president could break with two decades of American
compliance, acknowledge publicly that the emperor is indeed naked,
dismiss Mr. Netanyahu for the cynic he is and remind Israelis that all
their settlements are hostage to American goodwill. He could also
remind Israelis that the illegal communities have nothing to do with
Israel’s defense, much less its founding ideals of agrarian
self-sufficiency and Jewish autonomy. They are nothing but a colonial
takeover that the United States has no business subsidizing.

But if I am right, and there is no realistic prospect of removing
Israel’s settlements, then for the American government to agree that
the mere nonexpansion of “authorized” settlements is a genuine step
toward peace would be the worst possible outcome of the present
diplomatic dance. No one else in the world believes this fairy tale;
why should we? Israel’s political elite would breathe an unmerited
sigh of relief, having once again pulled the wool over the eyes of its
paymaster. The United States would be humiliated in the eyes of its
friends, not to speak of its foes. If America cannot stand up for its
own interests in the region, at least let it not be played yet again
for a patsy.

Tony Judt is the director of the Remarque Institute at New York
University and the author of “Postwar” and “Reappraisals: Reflections
on the Forgotten Twentieth Century.”

This article has been revised to reflect the following correction:

Correction: June 22, 2009
An earlier version of this op-ed incorrectly stated that Yitzhak Rabin
was assassinated in 2005. He was assassinated in 1995.

Copyright 2009 The New York Times Company
-- 
Jim Devine / "Segui il tuo corso, e lascia dir le genti." (Go your own
way and let people talk.) -- Karl, paraphrasing Dante.
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