I'm willing to bet anyone $10,000 that such a coup will not occur.
Whoever supported such a coup, both within Greece and within Europe,
would be taking a huge political risk. The coup plot could be
uncovered; the coup could fail; it could succeed and then fail, as in
Venezuela in 2001. A coup needs supporters, it needs people to
acquiesce, and it needs to be able to crush its opponents. If a coup
fails retaliation will be harsh, and political forces supporting the
austerity would become much more totally discredited than they are
already. It's hard to see what group of people, within Greece and
within Europe, has the incentive to take this risk. Russia defaulted
and there was no coup; Argentina defaulted and there was no coup;
Ecuador defaulted and there was no coup. The world has changed since
the time of the military government in Greece.

On Wed, May 16, 2012 at 10:21 PM, ken hanly <[email protected]> wrote:
> Greece has not been able to form a coalition government that supports the 
> austerity measures agreed to with the Troika. The next elections are likely 
> to result in an anti-deal government. Is there a possibility that the 
> military might stage a coup to form a national salvation government  and go 
> ahead with the agreed upon measures? In the past Greece had a military 
> government to save it from communism I presume. Now it needs a military 
> government to impose the recipes of the Troika and save them from democracy. 
> Is there any likelihood that a coup might occur?
>
>
> Cheers, ken
>
>
> Blog:  http://kenthink7.blogspot.com/index.html
> Blog:  http://kencan7.blogspot.com/index.html
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-- 
Robert Naiman
Policy Director
Just Foreign Policy
www.justforeignpolicy.org
[email protected]
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