Jim,

 

I'm not trying to pick a fight with you. But surely ordinary people don't do
much financial leveraging and deleveraging. 

 

Leveraging means, simply put, that you extract an amount of profit with
borrowed funds which you would not be able to claim just using your own
equity. Effectively it boils down to using your ability to borrow, to stack
up liabilities, and investing the borrowed funds to reap a return that is
substantially higher than your cost of borrowing. The ability to borrow
substantial funds is based on having a capital asset already. All's well
until you get a cashflow problem when you have insufficient current
earnings, and then you have to deleverage, which means shedding liabilities.


 

But most ordinary people are not able to do this bankers' trick on any large
scale, since they don't have the collateral. The only thing most people can
usually do, is use their owner-occupied home as a collateral and realize a
capital gain from that, for example, by raising loans based on the increased
value of their home in a booming housing market. Ordinary people have to
shed liabilities, because their salary (and whatever small property income
they have) is no longer sufficient to sustain their debts. The top 10% of
households own the overwhelming majority of stocks, while the bottom 80% own
very little stocks. Of the people earning less than $50,000 only something
like a quarter own bonds. If they own stocks or bonds, it might be through
some retirement savings scheme.

 

So if in recent years households have reduced their outstanding debt, I
think this is unlikely to have all that much to do with deleveraging, but
simply with the fact that their salary income - their main source of income
- is insufficient to sustain the debt level that they previously had.

 

J.

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