Or I might have said: an elevated and illusory sense of certainty about the substantive significance of their statistically insignificant findings.
On Wed, Jan 22, 2014 at 8:40 PM, Tom Walker <[email protected]> wrote: > Of course for the simplification to actually help in understanding > reality, it must be chosen intentionally for that purpose and not simply > for the purpose of confirming a predisposition. In my blog post, "Fallacy > vs. Fallacy," I look at an instance where researchers have performed a > "simplification" that isn't useful for understanding reality (I explain > why) but that gives them an elevated and illusory sense of certainty about > the meaning of their results. > > http://ecologicalheadstand.blogspot.ca/2014/01/fallacy-vs-fallacy.html > > > On Wed, Jan 22, 2014 at 7:49 PM, Gar Lipow <[email protected]> wrote: > >> I mentioned that too when you first started exposing the fallacy of the >> belief that it was a widespread fallacy. Counterfactual >> oversimplifications can often be useful in understanding reality. Engineers >> uses calculations assuming perfect elasticity or what have you on occasion, >> then do corrections. I suspect that the lump-of-labor is a useful >> approximation in a lot cases. >> >> >> On Wed, Jan 22, 2014 at 3:42 PM, Tom Walker <[email protected]>wrote: >> >>> Ryan Avent at the Economist: >>> >>> "It may be reading too much into recent experience, but one could also >>> argue that under certain constraints the lump of labour fallacy is no >>> fallacy at all. " >>> >>> http://www.economist.com/blogs/freeexchange/2014/01/labour-markets >>> >>> Cheers, >>> >>> Tom Walker (Sandwichman) >>> >>> _______________________________________________ >>> pen-l mailing list >>> [email protected] >>> https://lists.csuchico.edu/mailman/listinfo/pen-l >>> >>> >> >> >> -- >> Facebook: Gar Lipow Twitter: GarLipow >> Solving the Climate Crisis web page: SolvingTheClimateCrisis.com >> Grist Blog: http://grist.org/author/gar-lipow/ >> Online technical reference: http://www.nohairshirts.com >> >> _______________________________________________ >> pen-l mailing list >> [email protected] >> https://lists.csuchico.edu/mailman/listinfo/pen-l >> >> > > > -- > Cheers, > > Tom Walker (Sandwichman) > -- Cheers, Tom Walker (Sandwichman)
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