I agree about the general point about the industrial revolution building itself 
on fossil fuels, but the point I am making is that the shift from hydro power 
to fossil fuel did not occur because of a shortage of hydro power. Incidentally 
the main use of steam pumps at the begining was for Tin mines rather than coal 
mines. Coal would still have been needed for heating and iron production. so 
coal production would have risen sharply even in a hydro powered 
industrialisation.
________________________________________
From: [email protected] [[email protected]] on 
behalf of [email protected] 
[[email protected]]
Sent: Sunday, March 02, 2014 11:47 PM
To: [email protected]
Subject: Re: [Pen-l] Book about post-growth economy by Niko Paech

Paul says: "it is not that simple."  Of course things never are simple
enough to cover everything in a mailing list posting.  Wrigley's book
covers the entire economic history literature and looks at many
competing explanations.  But the essence of his argument is that
fossil fuels were an inescapable condition for the sustained boom of
the Industrial Revolution.  This is a hypothesis which has a lot going
for it, and I think it survives all the complications you can throw at
it.  I think this is the best understanding we have right now of the
Industrial Revolution, I like it better than Marx's explanation.

Hydropower is limited, like wind power or biomass. Had the Industrial
Revolution had to rely on hydropower it would have fizzled too.  The
first industrial application of steam power is Newcomen's steam pump,
allowing to pump water out of coal and iron mines.  I.e.  coal could
be used to produce even more coal more cheaply.  This is an
autocatalytic process which you will not find in renewable energy.
Coal became therefore a very cheap energy source, so cheap that people
did not even notice how important it was.

Another hypothesis is Niko Paech's thesis that de-materialized growth
is not possible.  This hypothesis did not originate in a vacuum; it
came from the experience in Germany that the Energiewende is thwarted
by increased open pit mines for brown coal in Germany.  The problem is
that CDU and SPD do not want to tell the public that they must reduce
consumption in order to have a green economy.  They want both, growth
and a green economy, and they will get a growing brown economy with
green fringes and ultimately the collapse of growth and our
traditional way of life.  This is the sad trajectory right now, but
Energiewende is very popular, and the German student movement and
other grass roots activists may make a difference.

Paech is one of their theoreticians and speakers.  Climate scientists
are becoming more and more activists, see Jim Hansen in US and Kevin
Anderson in UK.  It is high time they are joined by economists,
because mainstream economics as dangerous to the climate as the fables
of the climate change deniers.  Juliet Schor says many things similar
to Paech but she does not make it her central message that GDP is a
measure of the destruction of the environment and must be reduced.  We
need more economists coming out openly for a shrinking economy.  That
is why I like Paech so much.

Hans G Ehrbar.
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