Bizarre.

Gene


On Jan 12, 2015, at 8:33 PM, Charles Brown <[email protected]> wrote:

> http://www.bloombergview.com/articles/2015-01-07/economics-stars-swing-left
> 
> THIS MAN BEARS NO RESEMBLANCE TO MILTON FRIEDMAN.
> 
> PHOTOGRAPHER: JEROME FAVRE/BLOOMBERG
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> ECONOMICS
> 
> Economics Stars Swing Left
> 
> 283 JAN 7, 2015 9:00 AM EST
> By Noah Smith
> 
> A lot of people see economics as a “conservative science” that makes
> up unrealistic theories in order to push a free-market agenda. I don’t
> know if that was ever true -- maybe in the 1970s? -- but if so, those
> days are long gone.
> 
> At the latest American Economic Association meeting -- the big annual
> economist convention, which ended Monday -- some people turned out to
> protest against what they claim is too much mathematical formalism in
> economics. In an act of supreme irony, their main target was Carmen
> Reinhart, a Harvard economist whose most famous work was a book about
> the history of financial crises -- a famous example of modern econ
> that isn’t mathematical.
> 
> Why did the protesters go after Reinhart? Because she’s in favor of
> cutting government debt. What the protesters want has nothing to do
> with methodology -- they want economics to lean more to the left.
> 
> But if the protesters bothered to look around, they would see that
> their wish has been coming true for decades. Over the past
> quarter-century, economics has been shifting from singing the praises
> of free markets. Instead, it has moved toward a greater focus on
> inequality, human welfare and the ways that markets break down.
> 
> In academia, the shift has come partly through the introduction of new
> tools, and models that reveal the shortcomings of unfettered
> capitalism. Game theory shows how competition can lead to waste, and
> models of asymmetric information also show how markets can fail.
> Decision theory, learning theory and behavioral economics have poked
> holes in the old assumptions of perfect rationality.  Even in
> macroeconomics, all the focus is on incomplete and imperfectly
> functioning markets, as Karthik Athreya explains in his recent book,
> “Big Ideas in Macroeconomics.”
> 
> The move away from pure free-marketeerism has been helped by a flood
> of new data. Economics has become much more empirical, and that has
> made it much harder to wave away the possibility of market
> inefficiencies.
> 
> But academic economists themselves aren’t very ideological in the
> first place. Where the shift from right to left has really been more
> pronounced isn't in the ivory tower, but in the public sphere.
> 
> Back in the 1970s, the public face of economics was Milton Friedman. A
> consummate public intellectual, Friedman would travel around the
> country giving lectures about the power of free markets and the
> virtues of capitalism. Just search YouTube and you can easily
> seehighlight reels of Friedman smacking down socialists and idealistic
> leftist youths. He inspired a generation of bright young conservatives
> to go into economics. And before Friedman, there was Friedrich Hayek,
> whose tirade against Keynesian government intervention is still
> revered by many on the right.
> 
> Look around now. Where is the Milton Friedman of the 2010s?According
> to a recent post by George Mason University economist and blogger
> Tyler Cowen, the modern Milton Friedman is…Paul Krugman. Friedman's
> “Free to Choose” has been replaced by Krugman's “The Conscience of a
> Liberal.”
> 
> Krugman isn't alone. Cowen’s list of the five most influential
> economists also includes Thomas Piketty, Joseph Stiglitz, Jeffrey
> Sachs and Amartya Sen. Piketty, of course, exploded on the national
> scene last year with a book warning about inequality, and his ideas
> were apparently all the rage at this year’s AEA meeting. Stiglitz, who
> helped invent the theory of asymmetric information, travels the
> country talking about how markets are flawed. Sachs campaigns in favor
> of foreign aid to poor countries and Sen has spent his life trying to
> inject a human element into the cold equations of econ.
> 
> On the right side of the spectrum, what popular economists can match
> the appeal of Krugman, Piketty and the rest? The only candidate is
> Greg Mankiw of Harvard, who has become known as America’s economics
> teacher through his authorship of the most popular introductory
> college textbook. Mankiw is a rock-ribbed conservative, arguing
> tirelessly for lower taxes on the rich. But in terms of popular
> influence, he can’t match the heavy hitters on the left. Other
> right-leaning economists such as Robert Barro, John Cochrane, Martin
> Feldstein and John Taylor pen occasional op-eds in the Wall Street
> Journal, but none of them has written a book or blog whose popularity
> or influence matches that of Krugman or Piketty.
> 
> It’s worth asking: Why has economics shifted to the left? Maybe it’s
> because the country itself, and its problems, have shifted. In the
> 1970s, when conservatism and Friedman became the face of economics, we
> faced high tax rates, heavy regulation, high inflation and powerful
> unions. But in 2015, we confront rising inequality, economic
> insecurity, and the aftermath of a financial crisis and a long, deep
> recession.
> 
> Maybe a country simply gets the economics it needs.
> 
> In any case, if you think of economics as a bastion of conservatism
> and free-market dogma, it’s time to take another look. The winds have
> changed.
> 
> To contact the author on this story:
> Noah Smith at [email protected]
> 
> To contact the editor on this story:
> James Greiff at [email protected]
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