The same question has occurred to me.  In 1971-3 the U.S. assented to an
increase in the price of oil at a time when steep dollar devaluation was
underway.  Wouldn't it make sense for the administration to welcome an oil
price increase now, if not too severe, in order to head off a premature
rise in interest rates? -- That aside, the relationship between oil and the
value of the dollar is one that  bears upon one of the possible motives for
the invasion of Iraq.  In 2001 Saddam Hussein expressed an intention to
sell dollars for Euros, in violation of OPEC policy since 1975.  I should
think that the world's superpower running huge trade deficits would not
tolerate this deviation.

At 10:39 PM 10/22/2004, you wrote:
In the past the dollar greatly benefited in terms of its international
value when oil rose in price.  We are seeing record highs in the dollar
cost of oil and yet it does not seem like this is doing much to strengthn
the dollar on international markets.  Is it just that the U.S. also
imports so much oil and more basic fundamentals are so much weaker than in
the past?

Marty Hart-Landsberg



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