It's not so much that service industries resist technological change,
as that technological changes in direct service industries increase
outlays without raising productivity. Shifting from chalk-and-talk 
to powerpoint, for example, raises the fixed costs of education, but 
unless class sizes go up, this has no impact on productivity. 
Better imaging technologies raise health care costs and may improve 
outcomes, but have little impact on productivity.
  
Ellen 


-----Original Message-----
From: PEN-L list on behalf of Michael Perelman
Sent: Sat 2/5/2005 3:28 PM
To: PEN-L@SUS.CSUCHICO.EDU
Subject: Re: [PEN-L] Baumol's 'Disease'?
 
If real wages rise with the general level of labor productivity, then service 
workers
will experience increasing real wages even if these increases occur because of
declining costs of manufactured goods.
Doug, is absolutely correct that the new economy mania implied that services of 
all
kinds could be transformed by revolutionary technology.  Wal-Mart showed how 
this
could be true for certain aspects of retailing.  Replacing talk psychology with
pharmaceuticals might be another example.  But some kinds of services still seem
resistant to technological transformations.

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