http://www.spectrezine.org/europe/MarinissenEU.htm

Facts don't support the idea that the EU is lagging behind the US

Netherlands Economics Minister Laurens-Jan Brinkhorst is constantly
harping on about Europe's poor economic performance relative to the
US. This is a completely inaccurate picture designed to soften the
Dutch people up for savage attacks on their social security and
welfare system, argues Dutch Socialist Party leader Jan Marijnissen.

In the last ten years economic growth in the United States has been
persistently higher than it has been in the European Union. The
conclusion which is often drawn from this is that "we don't do things
as well as they do in the States".

In reality, the US has experienced a more rapid population increase
than has the EU, and a just comparison can only be made by looking at
income per head.  This gives a figure of 1.8% p.a. for the EU,
somewhat lower than the United States' 2.1%. However, take Germany
away and the difference disappears. Without the Federal Republic, the
EU, as well as our own country, has done just as well as has the US.
Slow German growth is partly to be explained by the fact that the
Bundesrepublik has, during the last decade or so, had to spend more
than a thousand billion euros on reunification.

Labour productivity in the Netherlands, contrary to the impression
which Brinkhorst is seeking to create, is around 10% higher than it is
in the States. Germany and France also have higher productivity, while
Belgium and Norway have the highest rates of productivity in the
world, with the Netherlands coming in third in a table of GNP per
work-hour.* All of these are European countries. Taking the continent
as a whole, average GNP does indeed lag behind that of the US, but
only because Europe includes the less developed economies of the South
and East.

A new study from Goldman Sachs' economist Kevin Daly demonstrates that
productivity growth in Europe has been dampened during the last ten
years as a result of cuts in social security and welfare. The
consequent deterioration in provision has meant that more poorly
educated people have been forced into employment, resulting in a lower
growth of productivity per head. More or less the same process
occurred in the US during the 1980s.

Daly identifies a number of other reasons why rates of economic- and
productivity growth in Europe seem lower than they really are. In the
US, for example, spending on computers is counted as investment,
giving the appearance of higher growth. A computer which remains at a
constant price whilst doubling in the speed of its operations is,
according to American statistical methods, half as expensive as
previously. In Europe, on the other hand, the same computer would in
most cases be counted as remaining at the same price. Once again, this
difference leads to an underestimation of European growth.

Average incomes in Europe are 30% lower than they are in the US.
However, this difference can be fully explained by the fact that
Europeans work shorter hours. Far more people work part-time in paid
employment, spending the rest of their time on a range of activities,
including voluntary work or trying to run a household. This is surely
something to be proud of, rather than seen as a way in which we "lag"
behind America.

Some economists argue that Europe is in fact much better off than the
States. Europeans have lower heating- and air-conditioning costs,
because in general the climate is milder. This also contributes to
apparently lower growth, as does the fact that we spend less on police
officers and less on prisons. Lastly, Europe enjoys a generally higher
level of social provision, better public services which are not
reflected in the statistics. There are, in conclusion, plenty of
grounds upon which we can insist that Europe has something of a lead
over the US.

High economic growth in the US is, moreover, extremely fragile.
Enormous military spending, boosted by Iraq, as well as tax cuts, have
allowed the Bush administration to stimulate the economy, whilst the
Federal Reserve has lowered interest rates far more than has the
European Central Bank. The result is that, from a surplus of 1% left
by the Clinton administration, the US has acquired a 2004 budget
shortfall which will reach almost 5%. Because of low interest rates
Americans save only a sixth of the average for Europeans, and debt per
head is far higher than it is over here. US growth is in reality
financed from the 2 billion dollars poured into the country every day
by foreign investors.

Not long ago the Intelligence Unit of The Economist gave the
Netherlands a mark of  8.62/10 for its economy!  This puts us top of
the class in Europe and second only to Canada globally.  There is
therefore absolutely no justification for pessimism. The right-wing
cabinet of Premier  Balkenende systematically exaggerates the problems
of the Netherlands' economy  in order to create the conditions under
which it can carry out a programme of draconian cuts in social
provision. It is remarkable to witness with what ease the cabinet is
able to generate a sort of national inferiority complex. If anything
stops us from addressing the real economic problems which exist, it
will be a lack of hope and of confidence in ourselves.

Jan Marijnissen is leader of the Socialist Party of the Netherlands
(SP). The SP is the fourth largest party in the national parliament,
with 8 MPs and 4 Senators. In the recent European Parliament elections
it acquired a second MEP. You can read more about the SP, at
http://www.sp.nl/en/

This is a translation of an article which appeared in the leading
centre-left daily, De Volkskrant, on 5th July.

*Figures from Kwartaalbericht 2003 van De Nederlandsche Bank, the
national bank's quarterly report

--
 Colin Brace
 Amsterdam

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