whatever happened to the sex-crime accusations againt Ortega?
On 10/16/06, Michael Hoover <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
On 10/16/06, Yoshie Furuhashi <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote: > I haven't been following the Nicaraguan election campaigns this year, > but apparently Daniel Ortega is leading in the polls: > > Two candidates have a chance to stop Ortega: Eduardo Montealegre, who > leads the National Liberal Alliance ticket, and Edmundo Jarquín, a > former official of the Inter-American Development Bank, who inherited > the nomination of the Sandinista Renovation Movement (the anti-Ortega > Sandinista party) upon the July 2, 2006, death of Herty Lewites. > > whom would you support if you were a Nicaraguan? > Yoshie new election rules permit a candidate to win in the first round by receiving 35% of votes cast with a margin of at least 5% over the next highest voter-getter...while polls showed ortega leading by a slim margin prior to the sudden death of former managua mayor lewites in june, none of them had him reaching this threshhold...his support has actually fallen several percentage points since then even though jarquin is polling less than lewites had been... ortega received 41% in 1990, 38% in 1996, and 42% in 2001 and he has said that he expects to receive about 40% again this time...doing so would permit him to win without the need for a 5% higher margin than the candidate coming in second place under the new rules but he is very unlikely to get 40% in first round balloting... given what ortega tops out at, he won't win a run-off...his perennial candidacy reflects the dismal state of the fsln (whose legislative delegation facilitated the passage of cafta in nicaragua)... i'd vote for jarquin (who had been lewites running mate before his heart attack)...mostly because fsln booted the now-deceased lewites a couple of years ago when he gave public indications that he was going to challenge ortega and because jarquin's running mate is folk singer carlos mejia godoy...i recognize that neither reason says anything about policy per se... mh
-- Jim Devine / "To initiate a war of aggression, therefore, is not only an international crime; it is the supreme international crime differing only from other war crimes in that it contains within itself the accumulated evil of the whole." -- Nuremberg Tribunal
