(As anticipated, the apparent resolution of the gas crisis in Bolivia, with
Petrobras at the centre of the conflict, coincides with Lula's victory in
Brazil. Lula, in an effort to counter Brazilian nationalist pressures
whipped up by political opponents to his right, had aligned himself for
electoral purposes with Petrobras in the company's negotiations with the
Morales government. At issue has been Bolivia's right, through its
state-owned oil company, YPFB, to not only own and claim higher royalties on
the resources pumped by the multinationals, but also to price and market the
production downstream - in effect, reducing the foreign firms to (still
profitable) turnkey operators. The FT report below indicates the Morales
government succeeded, although the details have not yet been released. The
Bolivians are aiming to get better prices for their energy exports to to
neighbouring Brazil and Argentina.)

Foreign investors bow to Morales
By Hal Weitzman in Lima
Financial Times
October 29 2006

Foreign investors in Bolivia’s gas sector have bowed to the leftwing
government’s nationalisation plan, agreeing to pay up to 82 per cent in tax,
hand over control of commercialisation to the state and invest billions of
dollars in the Andean country.

“With these new contracts we want to generate more economic resources to
solve the economic and social problems of our country,” said Evo Morales,
the leftwing Bolivian president.

The Bolivian Hydrocarbons Chamber, which represents foreign investors such
as Petrobras, Repsol, Total and British Gas, said the new accords would
create “a positive and lasting relationship between partners – the companies
and the state”.

Mr Morales announced in May he was nationalising Bolivia’s gas reserves, the
second largest in the region, and gave foreign operators 180 days to
renegotiate their operating contracts or leave the country.

All big foreign investors had threatened to take Bolivia to international
arbitration but ultimately that proved no more than a negotiating tactic.

A sticking point in the race to meet the deadline was the companies’
reluctance to be downgraded to mere service providers, operating turn-key
contracts in which YPFB, the Bolivian state company, would be officially in
charge of selling gas to neighbours such as Brazil and Argentina and would
refund a portion of the profits to the oil companies.

Carlos Villegas, Bolivian hydrocarbons minister, said YPFB “will control 100
per cent of commercialisation … in all contracts”. Although La Paz has not
yet given details of the new contracts, it is possible that the state will
compensate foreign investors for the loss of commercialisation rights.

Silas Rondeau, Brazil’s energy minister, admitted to reporters that
Petrobras, the Brazilian state-owned company that is the biggest foreign
investor in Bolivia, would become a service provider and said the company
had accepted a tax increase from 50 per cent to 82 per cent.

However, Mr Rondeau said it was “still worthwhile” continuing to operate in
Bolivia and that “conditions of profitability” remained. He also said that
Brazil had secured an increase in gas exports of about 4m cubic metres a
day, to 30m cubic metres.

As part of the new contracts, Petrobras is expected to invest $1.5bn in
Bolivia, while Repsol will pledge to plough more than $1bn into exploration
and production.

“The biggest concern in our sector has been the lack of investment,” said
the Hydrocarbons Chamber. “With these new agreements we envisage the
reactivation of Bolivia’s hydrocarbons industry.”

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